News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Get our analysts’ view on the key fundamentals for Oil in Q2. Download now. https://t.co/bXrPHkaSCn https://t.co/3CjqFS8nZn
  • The Bullish Cup and Handle that has been brewing in $USDTHB for some time is now on the verge of breaking higher Pushing above key resistance (around 31.606) exposes the July 2020 high at 31.858 towards peaks from the same year Learn more here - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2021/06/15/US-Dollar-Technical-Outlook-USDSGD-USDTHB-USDIDR-USDPHP.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/nugdcoHDNy
  • No change in interest rates is expected, but the central bank could adopt a more hawkish language in response to the deteriorating inflation outlook. Get your market update from @DColmanFX here:https://t.co/esLi7FLRNH https://t.co/t7RqVjIf9X
  • Fed's Williams: - It wouldn't be a problem if reverse repo activity increased - It is impossible to predict when the Fed will be able to reduce its bond-buying program
  • Fed's Williams: - The Fed reverse repo facility is operating perfectly - Overnight reverse repo is running perfectly
  • Fed's Williams: - The Federal Reserve is "talking about talking about" slowing asset purchases - Employers perceive a tight job market, but this does not imply full employment
  • Fed's Williams: - I predict a moderate market response to the Fed's policy meeting - Following the FOMC, there was no minor taper tantrum
  • Fed's Williams: - We see the dangers on both sides in terms of employment and price stability - Money market rates are under increasing downward pressure
  • Fed's Williams: - The average inflation target is not based on any methodology - We have taken note of the significant increase in reverse repo usage
  • Fed's Williams: - The Fed's adjustments to administered rates were about keeping the fed funds rate within the target range - Regulators should pay attention to money market funds since they have been in trouble in the past
Euro Price Outlook: EUR/USD Tests Support, ECB on Deck

Euro Price Outlook: EUR/USD Tests Support, ECB on Deck

James Stanley, Senior Strategist

Euro (EUR) Price, Chart and Analysis

  • Euro price action has been quiet with EUR/USD range-bound of recent.
  • Tomorrow brings the ECB rate decision, Christine Lagarde’s second atop the bank.

Euro Calm Reaches Historic Levels – May Not Last for Long

The lack of volatility in EUR/USD is reaching historic levels after a quiet Q4 outlay saw the pair build into a range, and that came after the first three quarters of last year showed limited movement compared to what the pair has usually done. The Average True Range indicator is currently showing a read of 113.5 pips on the weekly chart – a far cry from the 325 pips that showed in the summer of 2015 or even the 177 pips that showed around last year’s open. A combination of similarly loose monetary policy at the Fed and the ECB, combined with some receding of worry around European politics has allowed for the pair to spend most of the past three months inside of a 375-pip range.

EUR/USD Weekly Price Chart

eurusd eur/usd euro to us dollar weekly chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; EURUSD on Tradingview

EUR/USD Range in Focus Ahead of ECB

Since August of last year EUR/USD price action has been confined to a 375-pip range; with resistance coming in at a confluent zone of Fibonacci levels while support has been a bit more variable. The 1.1000 level has had a penchant to bring buyers into the mix, although the early-Q4 ramp of USD-strength saw the price dip inside of the 1.0900-handle, albeit temporarily.

More recently, support has come-in around another key area on the chart, and this is at 1.1082, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last year’s June-October sell-off. This level showed resistance in late-November followed by support in late-December; and for the past three trading days helped to bring buyers back into the pair.

This sets up for a fairly interesting backdrop ahead of tomorrow’s European Central Bank rate decision.

EUR/USD Daily Price Chart

eurusd eur/usd euro to us dollar daily chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; EURUSD on Tradingview

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES