News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Nasdaq 100, Hang Seng, ASX 200 Outlook: Tech Earnings in Focus as US Stocks Hit Records https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/04/19/Nasdaq-100-Hang-Seng-ASX-200-Outlook-Tech-Earnings-in-Focus-as-US-Stocks-Hit-Records.html https://t.co/hrSux6PveT
  • #Bitcoin Tumbles Amid Xinjiang Blackout, Possible US Treasury Investigation - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/04/19/Bitcoin-Tumbles-Amid-Xinjiang-Blackout-Possible-US-Treasury-Investigation.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Moss&utm_campaign=twr $BTC https://t.co/zs4eQVrKEP
  • 🇯🇵 Balance of Trade (MAR) Actual: ¥663.7B Expected: ¥490B Previous: ¥215.9B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-18
  • Trading Forex is not a shortcut to instant wealth, excessive leverage can magnify losses, and sentiment is a powerful indicator. Learn about these principles in depth here: https://t.co/lZFM8yG5lv https://t.co/j7No5uPhYF
  • 9 out of 11 S&P 500 sectors ended higher, with 70.9% of the index’s constituents closing in the green. Materials (+1.18%), utilities (+0.81%) and consumer discretionary (+0.78%) were among the best performers, while energy (-0.90%) and information technology (-0.03%) lagged. https://t.co/2qbzKRyx2B
  • 9 out of 11 S&P 500 sectors ended higher, with 70.9% of the index’s constituents closing in the green. Materials (+1.18%), utilities (+0.81%) and consumer discretionary (+0.78%) were among the best performers, while energy (-0.90%) and information technology (-0.03%) lagged. https://t.co/uAt7OhZvYM
  • There's no question about it, trading brings about much emotion. Knowing how to control emotions while trading can prove to be the difference between success and failure. Learn more about managing emotion in trading here: https://t.co/FC7CHp2y70 https://t.co/UvcEzMKGmI
  • What are some key takeaways for trading gold? Get your free insight here: https://t.co/lnxaQOsgid https://t.co/GOBTKkCEKh
  • *Reminder: Weekly Strategy Webinar Monday morning at 8:30am ET (12:30GMT) on DailyFX - https://t.co/lxd5fZ5LG7 Mid-Weekly Technical Update on Wednesday at 9:30am ET (13:30GMT) with IG - https://t.co/8SFBJxwo30
  • Forex trading, which is the act of exchanging fiat currencies, is thought to be centuries old – dating back to the Babylonian period. Learn about the history of Forex here: https://t.co/1ZR5OCfY3u https://t.co/NMiJrp6wmP
April NFP Disappoints with a +160k Print

April NFP Disappoints with a +160k Print

James Stanley, Senior Strategist

Talking Points:

- April Non-Farm Payrolls were released out of the United States, with a median expectation for a print of +200k. The actual print was +160k.

- The unemployment rate held flat at 5%; but this may not be a bullish factor given the change to the Household Employment Survey.

- If you’re looking for trading ideas, check out our Trading Guides. And if you want something more short-term in nature, check out our SSI indicator.

United States Non-Farm Payrolls were released for the month of April, and the median expectation coming into the announcement was for an addition of 200,000 jobs to have been added to American payrolls. The actual print was +160k, or -40k below the median expectation. The unemployment rate stayed flat at 5%; but keep in mind that this unemployment number is not derived from the NFP number, it’s a product of the Household Employment Survey, which fell by -316,000 jobs. Average hourly earnings were up, printing at 2.5% v/s a 2.4% expectation and a 2.3% prior print.

The initial reaction was a quick spike US Dollar weakness as we now have more evidence of slowdown in the American economy; and perhaps more importantly this evidence of slowdown is showing in the portion of the US economy that was previously thought to have been strong (employment). As we had mentioned yesterday, this Non-Farm Payrolls release would likely be one of the last chances for a data print to keep alive hopes for a potential rate hike out of the Fed at their next meeting in June, which has been the primary factor of weakness in the US Dollar run lower over the past three months.

USD has displayed heightened volatility in the wake of the release, running higher after the initial spike lower. Traders would likely want to wait for near-term price action to calm before looking to adjust swing or longer-term positions.

April NFP Disappoints with a +160k Print

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station II; prepared by James Stanley

--- Written by James Stanley, Analyst for DailyFX.com

To receive James Stanley’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES