We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.33%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 76.39%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/yX00FwBRaN
  • Forex Update: As of 12:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇬🇧GBP: 0.18% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.14% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.07% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.00% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.01% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.04% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/4auhNzVWYV
  • Heads Up:🇧🇷 BCB Focus Market Readout due at 11:30 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-25
  • 🇲🇽 Balance of Trade Actual: $-3.087B Expected: $2.04B Previous: $3.398B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-25
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.32%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 76.77%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/Tha105cXZ5
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Balance of Trade due at 11:00 GMT (15min) Expected: $2.04B Previous: $3.392B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-25
  • Commodities Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.73% Gold: -0.29% Silver: -0.85% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/enjCuKY7xE
  • $SPX faces pivotal resistance, while #FTSE 100 continues to trade in rangebound fashion. Get your #equities technical analysis from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/JXLZIbXzrQ https://t.co/37cpFa4skw
  • Forex Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: 0.21% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.11% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.03% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.05% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.06% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.08% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/W8OTNI6e3n
  • 🇮🇱 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est Actual: -1.8% Previous: 1.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-25
USD Weakens as US Yields Drop, JPY Outperforms - US Market Open

USD Weakens as US Yields Drop, JPY Outperforms - US Market Open

2018-12-04 14:30:00
Justin McQueen, Analyst
Share:

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – USD Pullback as Yields Drop, JPY Outperforms

JPY: As US yields drop a move closer to inversion (2s10s just over 13bps away) looms. Among the major beneficiary of this has been the Japanese Yen, which has gained across the board. USDJPY made a break below 113.00 as US/JP 10yr bond spreads narrow from the wides of 300bps. Alongside this, the softer tone in equity markets has also contributed to the gains in the JPY. As a reminder, CFTC data suggest that markets remain heavily short the JPY, leaving USDJPY vulnerable to further declines.

GBP: The Pound received a bid this morning to surpass the 1.28 handle after comments made by the ECJ Advocate General, who stated that the UK can revoke Article 50 unilaterally as opposed to needing the approval of all EU 27-member states. However, this was merely a non-binding decision instead of a ruling. The focus on the Brexit front will be the upcoming meaningful vote, which is yet to receive much of a boost in terms of passing. As is typically the case, Brexit optimism tends to be faded.

USD: The US Dollar is on the backfoot this morning as US yields continue to pullback. Since yesterday’s high, the 10yr yield has dropped 11bps, consequently, sparking USD bulls to head for the exit. US yield curve inversion in the 2s5s and 3s5s seen yesterday has continued to sap demand from the USD.

USD Weakens as US Yields Drop, JPY Outperforms - US Market Open

Data as of 1325GMT

DailyFX Economic Calendar: Tuesday, December 4, 2018 – North American Releases

USD Weakens as US Yields Drop, JPY Outperforms - US Market Open

DailyFX Webinar Calendar: Tuesday, December 4, 2018

USD Weakens as US Yields Drop, JPY Outperforms - US Market Open

IG CLIENT SENTIMENT USDJPY Chart of the Day

USD Weakens as US Yields Drop, JPY Outperforms - US Market Open

USDJPY: Data shows 47.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.09 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Nov 02 when USDJPY traded near 113.064; price has moved 0.2% lower since then. The percentage of traders net-long is now its highest since Nov 02 when USDJPY traded near 113.183. The number of traders net-long is 13.0% higher than yesterday and 1.6% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 10.4% lower than yesterday and 15.3% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests USDJPY prices may continue to rise. Yet traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current USDJPY price trend may soon reverse lower despite the fact traders remain net-short.

Five Things Traders are Reading

  1. Technical Outlook for USD Index, EUR/USD, USD/CAD, Gold Price & More” by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
  2. Market Sentiment Improving but Traders Still Risk-Averse | Webinarby Martin Essex, MSTA , Analyst and Editor
  3. Gold Price Analysis: Bulls Eye Topside Breakout” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  4. DAX 30 & CAC 40 Charts – Outlook Bearish in the Near-term and Longer” by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
  5. US Dollar Price Crumbles; Breaks Below Supportive Uptrend, NFPs in View” by Nick Cawley, Market Analyst

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.