We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • The British Pound technical outlook still seems to favor the downside. GBP/CAD may pressure key rising support from August as GBP/AUD could prolong its downtrend. GBP/CHF may fall. Get your $GBP market update from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/hBOpDKXmfW https://t.co/AJlT2YKeCu
  • USD/JPY is approaching medium-term uptrend resistance and while the outlook remains constructive, the advance may be vulnerable near-term while below confluence resistance. Get your $USDJPY technical analysis from @MBForex here: https://t.co/93D7AyhHtG https://t.co/KQcLLrkMP3
  • AUD/USD has had the most impressive show of trend over the past couple of months with the pair gaining almost 1500 pips from the March low. Get your $AUDUSD technical analysis from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/vLz4Rpln3u https://t.co/AOwnJja5V8
  • Has the #Euro been saved? Find out from @CVecchioFX here: https://t.co/eiXfOTyGa6 https://t.co/AyRiYpb4cN
  • U.S. Market Analyst at https://t.co/JsVsSmefgR, Shain Vernier covers - ✔️ Safe haven assets in volatile markets ✔️ Central banks and governments ✔️ How will commodities trade in a recession Only on Trading Global Markets Decoded #podcast. Tune in here: https://t.co/1UmEzEbwiy https://t.co/ygwjGNvS61
  • The $USD, Euro, British Pound and Australian Dollar will all be at the mercy of political developments in Asia, Europe and North America this week. An avalanche of PMI data will set the backdrop. Find out from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/L8cfAgVx94 https://t.co/THWhPAS6AM
  • The price of #gold plunged 1% immediately after the stunning US jobs report crossed the wires. Get your market update from @RichDvorakFX here: https://t.co/8i0L6YIqjy https://t.co/y9dIXazJf9
  • S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq explode higher with stocks surging in response to shockingly better-than-expected monthly jobs data. Get your #equities market update from @RichDvorakFX here: https://t.co/nuMVWOzzuC https://t.co/M3nGBjd7kZ
  • The record-breaking NFPs increase behind us and the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday sets the tone for my trading video: 'Dow Soars Above 200-Day Average on NFPs, Will the #Fed Keep the Dollar Sliding' https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/06/06/Dow-Soars-Above-200-Day-Average-on-NFPs-Will-the-Fed-Keep-the-Dollar-Sliding.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/kquvec5HVc
  • Seasonal factors, oversupply issues and the outbreak of COVID-19 has seen the price of liquefied #naturalgas (LNG) fall to 22-year lows (1.519), with the situation exacerbated by ‘fuller-than-normal’ storage facilities. Get your market update here:https://t.co/VOqfkBQ4aR https://t.co/OsaphmqEmu
CAD at 5-Month Lows, Crude Oil Back on the Decline - US Market Open

CAD at 5-Month Lows, Crude Oil Back on the Decline - US Market Open

2018-11-28 14:30:00
Justin McQueen, Analyst
Share:

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – GBP Outperforms, Crude Oil Back on the Decline

GBP: The Pound is notably outperforming this morning, gaining some 0.3% against the greenback. However, resistance at 1.28 has capped further upside in the pair. In regard to the latest reports surrounding Brexit, there was some supportive voices from key Conservative members with the Environment Minister Michael Gove stating that PM May’s Brexit plan was the best deal on the table. This is particularly pertinent given that there had been previously a risk that Gove may have resigned. Elsewhere, PM May ditched a move to stop lawmakers trying to re-write her Brexit plans, which will allow for lawmakers to have a free vote on a series of potential changes to PM May’s deal, potentially involving calls for another referendum or a different deal with the EU.

CAD: The Canadian Dollar continues to soften with USDCAD now trading at the highest level since June. Softer oil prices, alongside wider bond spreads with the US has kept the USDCAD uptrend intact. Little in the way of resistance of resistance until the 1.34 handle.

USD: As we approach the month-end, eyes will be on the typical rebalancing that takes place. As it stands, investment bank rebalancing models from Citi and Barclays suggest that signals are for USD buying against its major counterparts with the strongest USD buy signal against JPY. Consequently, month-end demand may underpin the US Dollar over the next few sessions. Today’s trade data will continue to remind President Trump why the trade war with China is necessary, after the figures showed another widening in the trade deficit.

Crude Oil: The morning bounce in oil prices has once again been pared with Brent crude back below $60/bbl. Overnight saw a wider than expected build in US oil inventories in the latest API, which if confirmed by today’s EIA data will lead to a 10th consecutive weekly increase in stockpiles. Elsewhere, markets continue to keep a close eye on the latest OPEC headlines on how much could the cartel cut production.

CAD at 5-Month Lows, Crude Oil Back on the Decline - US Market Open

Data as of 1310GMT

DailyFX Economic Calendar: Wednesday, November 27, 2018 – North American Releases

CAD at 5-Month Lows, Crude Oil Back on the Decline - US Market Open

DailyFX Webinar Calendar: Wednesday, November 28, 2018

CAD at 5-Month Lows, Crude Oil Back on the Decline - US Market Open

IG CLIENT SENTIMENT USDCAD Chart of the Day

CAD at 5-Month Lows, Crude Oil Back on the Decline - US Market Open

USDCAD: Retail trader data shows 32.9% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.04 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Oct 09 when USDCAD traded near 1.28217; price has moved 4.0% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 18.8% lower than yesterday and 38.6% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 26.5% higher than yesterday and 1.8% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests USDCAD prices may continue to rise. Positioning is more net-short than yesterday but less net-short from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed USDCAD trading bias.

Five Things Traders are Reading

  1. Technical Outlook for Crude Oil, Gold Price, S&P 500, DAX 30, FTSE & More” by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
  2. DAX 30 Technical Analysis – Bounce Set to End Soonby Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
  3. EUR Technical Analysis Overview: EURUSD, EURJPY, EURGBP” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  4. Crude Oil Price Stabilizes, Downtrend Remains Intact” by Martin Essex, MSTA , Analyst and Editor
  5. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple Prices Turn Higher | Webinar” by Nick Cawley, Market Analyst

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.