News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Crude oil prices tend to move against inventory changes. Recent fall in US crude oil inventories has underpinned WTI prices. Oil traders are eyeing weekly EIA inventory data on Wednesday, expecting further decline in stockpiles. https://t.co/MGkIuMQDME
  • Commodities Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 1.47% Gold: 0.64% Oil - US Crude: -0.55% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/OmjUX9Bqn9
  • Retail trader data shows 48.82% of traders are net-long crude oil with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.05 to 1. https://t.co/EqqMQjbHt9
  • The S&P 500 may cautiously rise if investors believe a breakthrough in fiscal talks could be made before the November 3 election. Markets now brace for the final presidential debate. Get your S&P500 market update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/CQgeT55Ax3 https://t.co/kbFybIBFhE
  • Forex Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.40% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.39% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.20% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.17% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.11% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.11% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/syhc439Snn
  • Technically, the Nasdaq 100 index appears to have formed a bearish “AB=CD” pattern (chart below). An immediate support level can be found at 11,650, where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 20-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) line overlap. https://t.co/XJ55wo834j
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.62%, while traders in EUR/USD are at opposite extremes with 72.91%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/Yso2dgKU4I
  • 10 out of 11 S&P 500 sectors closed in the green, with 70% of the index’s constituents ending higher yesterday. Energy (+1.13%) and financials (+0.82%) and were among the better performers, whereas consumer staples (-0.11%) and healthcare (+0.13%) were lagging. https://t.co/XbJZafP2qG
  • Broad risk-on tilt seen early in APAC trade - Haven-associated $USD and $JPY sliding to fresh session-lows as the risk-sensitive $AUDUSD climbs higher. - #Gold eyeing a push to session-highs while #SP500 futures hover relatively steady - #Crudeoil attempting to push back to $42 https://t.co/Uh2YW4jeAP
  • Netflix fell over 5% after its Q3 results came sharply below forecasts in terms of earnings-per-share (EPS), new subscribers and forward guidance due to a drastic slowdown in sign-ups in the summer season. https://t.co/faqGMEJlHb
US Dollar Technical Posture Improving Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

US Dollar Technical Posture Improving Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

2016-10-06 12:30:00
Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist
Share:

Talking Points:

- Both USDOLLAR and DXY Indexes making significant progress.

- US NFPs tomorrow don't need to be a blowout to be USD-positive.

- See the DailyFX economic calendar for the week of October 2 to October 7.

After a batch of 'glass half-full' data yesterday, the US Dollar is sitting pretty ahead of tomorrow's US labor market data release. While the ISM Services report for September was impressive, posting the largest single month-over-month gain in the data series' history, the ADP Employment reading was rather flat around +150K.

Regardless of which print you want to focus on, both point to the same conclusion: the September NFP report will probably be another one of the 'Goldilocks' variety. Pundits will point out that headline NFPs below +200K is a warning sign, but several Fed policymakers, including Chair Janet Yellen, disagree. If you look at how Fed policy has evolved over the past two years, Fed officials have indicated from time to time their belief about what the 'breakeven jobs growth rate' would be for NFPs. Approximately two years ago, Fed officials were saying it was around +150-+175K; recently, they've said it's closer to +100K as the economy has neared full employment.

Tomorrow, if we see only a middling NFP print, it still may be good enough to keep the Fed on track to raise rates by December. With US elections just days later, November seems unlikely for the next 25-bps hike; and the December meeting will produce new staff economic projections, which the Fed has showed preference to have in hand when making changes to its policies.

See the video (above) for technical considerations in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP, and the USDOLLAR Index.

Read more: US Dollar Looks to ADP, ISM for Clues Ahead of September NFPs

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Strategist

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

To be added to Christopher’s e-mail distribution list, please fill out this form

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES