News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 NAHB Housing Market Index (JAN) due at 15:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 86 Previous: 86 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-20
  • Heads Up:🇨🇦 BoC Monetary Policy Report due at 15:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-20
  • Heads Up:🇨🇦 BoC Interest Rate Decision due at 15:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 0.25% Previous: 0.25% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-20
  • $EURGBP dropped from 0.8890 to below 0.8860 this morning, pushing to its lowest level since May. $EUR $GBP https://t.co/5TotJhsKzT
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 0.74% US 500: 0.66% France 40: 0.47% Wall Street: 0.36% FTSE 100: 0.26% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/NvjQjChgXS
  • The @bankofcanada is widely expected to stand pat on monetary policy with the overnight rate to remain at 0.25% alongside no change in the current pace (CAD 4bn/week) or composition of QE purchase. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here:https://t.co/gK5wVUwxlG https://t.co/YbME7aXeeM
  • Reports of an explosion heard in Madrid - La Sexta TV Station
  • #Gold dropped quickly this morning, falling from $1,850 to below $1,835 before bouncing back. The precious metal is now trading around $1,850 again. $XAU $GLD https://t.co/gAs3ytl9g2
  • $EURGBP at risk of extended losses after breaking to the downside of a 12-month Symmetrical Triangle pattern and slashing through the support range at 0.8865 - 0.8875 A push towards 0.8670 - 0.8690 looks on the cards if sellers hurdle psychological support at 0.8800 $EUR $GBP https://t.co/zS9CyhUqMf
  • *Slight move higher in USDCAD
Make or Break Day for the USDOLLAR Index?

Make or Break Day for the USDOLLAR Index?

Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist

Talking Points:

- EUR/USD faces retest of daily 8-EMA - hasn't closed above since October 22.

- USDOLLAR hasn't seen two closes below its daily 8-EMA since October 19-20.

- See the November forex seasonality report that forecasts US Dollar strength.

If there were a tandem of data releases - outside of the NFP data dump - that could carry significant weight for the US Dollar, it would be today's retail sales and consumer confidence releases. Both reports offer insight into the heart and soul - and wallet - of the American consumer; which is important, given that consumption accounts for north of 70% of US GDP.

Accordingly, with the USDOLLAR Index at a critical crossroads - it is threatening to put in two consecutive closes below its daily 8-EMA for the first time since October 19-20 - this data serves as an opportunity to reaffirm the market's belief that the Federal Reserve has enough positive data to hike rates next month.

See the video above for a review of this morning's Euro-Zone GDP data, as well as technical considerations in EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and the USDOLLAR Index.

Read more: Important Retest of Daily 8-EMA Unfolds for the USDOLLAR Index

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Strategist

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

To be added to Christopher's e-mail distribution list, please fill out this form

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES