News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Is the Eurozone entering into a second debt crisis? Find out here: https://t.co/xHEhzcyXMb https://t.co/gJ0VfoEFWE
  • EUR/USD resistance at 1.2000 well and truly broken..currently @ 1.2030 on USD-weakness #eurusd #usd #euro @DailyFX https://t.co/B4hqLj50fM
  • Take a closer look visually at the most influential global importers and exporters here: https://t.co/G58J1cYv9t https://t.co/7PN8pYKhXH
  • US Dollar Basket (DXY) taking a tumble... https://t.co/t6kiwXWCX4
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.55%, while traders in Germany 30 are at opposite extremes with 80.61%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/aC5CZqRzxd
  • Commodities Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: 0.20% Silver: -0.31% Oil - US Crude: -0.34% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/7rkjdGff4Y
  • Euro May Turn Lower vs. US Dollar as Upswing Falters Below 1.20 - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/home/analysis/eur-usd/2021/04/19/Euro-May-Turn-Lower-vs-US-Dollar-as-Upswing-Falters-Below-1.20.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Spivak&utm_campaign=twr #EURUSD #technicalanalysis https://t.co/30VPCDfO1B
  • Forex Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.28% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.11% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.08% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.03% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.03% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.01% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/LQnZcITyT6
  • Indices Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 0.09% France 40: 0.03% FTSE 100: -0.09% US 500: -0.23% Wall Street: -0.33% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/19eau4SxDU
  • Crude Oil Prices Retreat After Big Rally as Traders Await Fresh Catalysts https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/04/19/Crude-Oil-Prices-Retreat-after-Big-Rally-as-Traders-Await-Fresh-Catalysts.html https://t.co/e6PdkgQ2C7
AUD/USD, EUR/USD Triangles Eye Continuation Targets

AUD/USD, EUR/USD Triangles Eye Continuation Targets

Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist

Talking Points:

- AUDUSD triangle breakout eyes A$0.7440, A$0.7680.

- EURUSD triangle breakout eyes $1.1435/65.

- See the October forex seasonality report that favors US Dollar weakness.

The US Dollar remains on weak footing, with new lows eyed in the USDOLLAR Index. In particular, the thrust appears to be driven by AUDUSD and EURUSD, as GBPUSD has more or less consolidated the past two days and USDJPY hasn't budged from its ¥118.20/25 to ¥121.70/75 (with price starting to edge itself outside of its recent triangle without a significant break, we must recognize that a sideways range, not a symmetrical triangle, may be the appropriate interpretation).

Both AUDUSD and EURUSD are currently in the midst of continuation efforts outside of their bullish triangles, and with some distance to run before their final targets are reached, it's likely we see new lows in the USDOLLAR Index soon.

Fed rate hike probabilities

In the near-term, with US economic data momentum slumping again (the Citi Economic Surprise Index is at -26.3, down from -16.9 one month ago) and markets pricing out the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates this year (see chart above), the US Dollar's fundamental footing is eroding. In context of recent seasonal trends, October is shaping up to be a rough month for the greenback.

See the above video for a fundamental overview of the USD-complex, plus technical considerations in EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY, and the USDOLLAR Index.

Read more: Euro Set to Respond to Policymakers’ Speeches amid Thin Calendar

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Strategist

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

To be added to Christopher's e-mail distribution list, please fill out this form

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES