News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
More View more
Real Time News
  • The non-farm payroll (NFP) figure is a key economic indicator for the United States economy. It is also referred to as the monthly market mover. Find out why it has been given this nickname here:
  • Looking for a new way to trade reversals? One of the most used reversal candle patterns is known as the Harami. Like most candlestick formation patterns, the Harami tells a story about sentiment in the market. Get better with trading reversals here:
  • It’s important for traders to be familiar with FX spreads as they are the primary cost of trading currencies. Understand a pair's spread here:
  • The British Pound is giving back some of its multi-month gains with some pairs testing notable support despite a positive fundamental backdrop. Get your market update from @nickcawley1 here:
  • Dealing with the fear of missing out – or FOMO – is a highly valuable skill for traders. Not only can FOMO have a negative emotional impact, it can cloud judgment and overshadow logic. Learn how you can control FOMO in your trading here:
  • Gold is facing the neckline of a Double Bottom Pattern after bouncing off a confirmed longer-term trendline. Is a bullish reversal in order? Get your market update from @FxWestwater here:
  • Central banks often deem it necessary to intervene in the foreign exchange market to protect the value of their national currency. Learn how central bank intervention can impact your trading here:
  • Rollover is the interest paid or earned for holding a currency spot position overnight. Learn how to earn rollover interest on your open positions here:
  • The New Zealand Dollar is in a tricky spot. On one hand, rising stocks can propel NZD. On the other, a dovish RBNZ ahead could cool bond yields as the government tackles soaring housing costs. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:
  • Knowing how to accurately value a stock enables traders to identify and take advantage of opportunities in the stock market. Find out the difference between a stock's market and intrinsic value, and the importance of the two here:
GBP/JPY Nears Two-Week High after Best UK Services PMI in 17 Years

GBP/JPY Nears Two-Week High after Best UK Services PMI in 17 Years

Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist

Talking Points:

- Strongest UK PMI Services reading in 17 years gives big lift to Sterling.

- Single European currency slightly lower on the day as markets await ECB on Thursday.

- GBPJPY retains range after data – levels to watch.

To keep up with the European data and news as the week goes forward, be sure to sign up for my distribution list.

Intraday Price Perspective

GBPJPY_Nears_Two-Week_High_after_Best_UK_Services_PMI_in_17_Years_body_Picture_1.png, GBP/JPY Nears Two-Week High after Best UK Services PMI in 17 Years

A look at the Strong/Weak app shows that the British Pound is the overall top performer on the day, but in the near-term (m15, H1), various JPY-crosses have started to weaken. Accordingly, we see GBPJPY as a viable scalping candidate over the coming hours given how price action fits within the recent trading range.


GBPJPY H1 Chart: September 9 to Present

GBPJPY_Nears_Two-Week_High_after_Best_UK_Services_PMI_in_17_Years_body_x0000_i1028.png, GBP/JPY Nears Two-Week High after Best UK Services PMI in 17 Years

Want to automate your trading or trade baskets of currencies? Try Mirror Trader.

The GBPJPY has rebounded off of range channel support near ¥156.50/60, rocketing to just short of resistance of an exceptionally strong UK PMI Services report this morning (discussed below).

Yet the rally has stalled, running into two forms of resistance. First, the former supporting TL off of the August and October lows at 157.70; and second, resistance in the H1 RSI (21) congestion pattern that’s coincided with the price range dating back to October 23.

While the range could very well hold – a break to the upside will need to see price retake 158.30 at minimum. A breakdown would occur under 156.50. A break in either direction of the H1 RSI (21) – currently pressing to the upside – could hint at an increasing probability of a move in the same direction.

Here’s a look at the data out of Europe this morning that’s influencing price action:


GBPJPY_Nears_Two-Week_High_after_Best_UK_Services_PMI_in_17_Years_body_x0000_i1029.png, GBP/JPY Nears Two-Week High after Best UK Services PMI in 17 Years

The European Commission’s report on the next year’s worth of key economic milestones was dour as expected, in light of last week’s discouraging inflation report. Accordingly, with Euro-area growth expected to come in at +1.1% in 2014 (versus +1.2% prior) and inflation at +1.5% (versus +1.8% prior), there’s growing evidence for the European Central Bank to at least signal dovish intentions at its policy meeting this week. Ultimately, it is likely that the Euro is one of the more active currencies on the week with significant event risk backloaded into Thursday and Friday.

Read more: High Event Risk Throughout Week Promises Volatility in EUR-, USD-pairs


GBPJPY_Nears_Two-Week_High_after_Best_UK_Services_PMI_in_17_Years_body_x0000_i1030.png, GBP/JPY Nears Two-Week High after Best UK Services PMI in 17 Years

The UK services sector continues to grow at a torrid pace, with the October PMI Non-Manufacturing index coming in at 62.5, the highest rate in 17 years. This follows the best quarterly performance in 16 years in the 3Q’13. No doubt, the Bank of England’s Funding for Lending Scheme is paying dividends here, with the components of the report showing signs that the labor market may be reaching a saturation point – that is, wages will have to rise or job growth will develop to compensate for the additional production needs. The British Pound’s surge across the board following the release is warranted in light of the data.

Read more: Dip versus EUR, GBP May Be chance to Buy as USD Retreats after Breakout


GBPJPY_Nears_Two-Week_High_after_Best_UK_Services_PMI_in_17_Years_body_x0000_i1031.png, GBP/JPY Nears Two-Week High after Best UK Services PMI in 17 Years

Read more: Gold Sell-off Intensifies as USD Firms – GDP, NFPs in Focus

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Analyst

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

To be added to Christopher’s e-mail distribution list, please fill out this form

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.