We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • LIVE IN 30 MIN: Currency Strategist @PaulRobinsonFX discusses important technical developments relevant to short to intermediate-term commodity and equity index traders here - https://www.dailyfx.com/webinars/816147795?CHID=9&QPID=917720
  • ECB's De Guindos says monetary policy side effects are becoming more evident $EUR
  • Join @PaulRobinsonFX 's #webinar at 5:30 AM ET/10:30 AM GMT to gain insight on indices and commodities for the active trader. Register here: https://t.co/gghsFsZYlx https://t.co/ujAbNhzLpz
  • Why financial market traders must monitor both monetary and fiscal policy?Find out from @MartinSEssex here: https://t.co/Fkzk88Y5gm https://t.co/gbDTCgqHI5
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 GBP Unit Labor Costs (YoY) (2Q) due at 09:30 GMT (15min), Actual: N/A Expected: N/A Previous: 2.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2019-11-20
  • RT @mynamejd: SP500 earnings revisions up & down per sector - Source Refinitiv https://t.co/bvmlQCltkN
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.87%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 79.99%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/06877Dk0Iz
  • Heads Up:🇪🇺 EUR ECB Publishes Financial Stability Review due at 09:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2019-11-20
  • Commodities Update: As of 08:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: 0.37% Silver: 0.22% Oil - US Crude: -0.49% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/Nl2cW4qqNE
  • US Dollar Selloff May Accelerate After #FOMC Minutes Released - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/session_briefing/euro_open/2019/11/20/US-Dollar-Selloff-May-Accelerate-After-FOMC-Minutes-Released.html
Gold Price Targets: XAU/USD Surges 4%- Can the Rally be Sustained?

Gold Price Targets: XAU/USD Surges 4%- Can the Rally be Sustained?

2019-08-09 14:05:00
Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist
Share:

Gold prices have now rallied nearly 19% off the yearly lows in the past three months and nearly 4% this week alone with the precious metal poised to mark the highest weekly close since April of 2013. Gold has seen just two down weeks in the past eleven and while the broader focus remains higher, the advance is now reaching a critical multi-year resistance slope- we’re looking for a reaction up there. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the XAU/USD weekly price chart heading into the close of the month. Review my latestWeekly Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this gold price setup and more.

New to Gold Trading? Get started with this Free How to Trade Gold -Beginners Guide

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD Weekly

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD Weekly - GLD Technical Forecast

Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist; Gold on Tradingview

Notes: In my last XAU/USD Price Outlook we noted that, “Gold prices are in breakout mode – the advance is testing near-term up-trend resistance and we’re looking for a reaction with the focus higher while above 1451.” The advance registered a high at 1510 on the back of a spectacular advance that saw prices post the largest single-week rally / range since mid-June (that instance marked a breach of the yearly opening-range highs). Note that weekly RSI is now approaching the momentum highs registered just before the 2011 record highs.

Initial weekly resistance targets stand with the 2015 parallel (red) around ~1515 with more significant confluence region eyed at pitchfork resistance / December 2011 & 2012 lows at 1522/26- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Key support steady at 1451 backed by 1433 with broader bullish invalidation now raised to the median-line / 2014 high at 1391.

For a complete breakdown of Michael’s trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy

Bottom line: The gold breakout is getting deep with the advance now maturing towards long-term uptrend slope resistance targets. From at trading standpoint, look to reduce long-exposure / raise protective stops on a stretch towards trend resistance around 1522/26- a region of interest for possible near-term exhaustion. Ultimately, we’ll be looking for a larger pullback to offer more favorable entries with the broader focus higher while above the median-line. Review my latest Gold Price Outlook for a closer look at the near-term XAU/USD technical trading levels.

Even the most seasoned traders need a reminder every now and then-Avoid these Mistakes in your trading

Gold Trader Sentiment - XAU/USD Price Chart

Gold Trader Sentiment - XAU/USD Price Chart - GLD Technical Forecast
  • A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-long Gold - the ratio stands at +1.53 (60.5% of traders are long) – bearish reading
  • Long positions are 11.1% higher than yesterday and 7.0% higher from last week
  • Short positions are 0.1% lower than yesterday and 37.9% higher from last week
  • We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Spot Gold prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday & last week, and the combination of current positioning and recent changes gives us a stronger Spot Gold-bearish contrarian trading bias from a sentiment standpoint.

See how shifts in Gold retail positioning are impacting trend- Learn more about sentiment!

---

Previous Weekly Technical Charts

--- Written by Michael Boutros, Technical Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.