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EUR/AUD Gaps Into Resistance- Pullback to Offer Opportunity

EUR/AUD Gaps Into Resistance- Pullback to Offer Opportunity

Michael Boutros, Strategist

Talking Points

  • EUR/NZD pullback off key resistance to be viewed as opportunity
  • Updated targets & invalidation levels
  • Join Michael for Live Weekly Strategy Webinars on Mondays at 12:30GMT

EURAUD Daily

EUR/AUD Daily Chart

Technical Outlook:EURAUD gaped into a key resistance confluence on Sunday at 1.4430- this region is defined by the 100% extension of the February advance & the upper median-line parallel. Although our broader outlook remains weighted to the topside, the immediate advance is at risk near-term while below this threshold.

Interim support rests at the 1.43-handle with our broader bullish invalidation down at 1.4167. A breach higher from here targets subsequent topside objectives into the sliding parallel extending off the March highs / 1.4595.

See our 2Q Euro projections and more in the DailyFX Trading Forecasts.

EURAUD 240min

EUR/AUD 240min Chart

Notes:A closer look at price action highlights near-term confluence resistance at 1.4430. Look for a reaction here with the immediate long-side vulnerable below this mark. Interim support now the figure backed closely by the ML. Both 1.4218 & 1.4173 represent areas of interest for exhaustion / long-entries. A breach higher eyes subsequent resistance objectives at 1.4485, the sliding parallel (currently 1.4550s) & 1.4595.

From a trading standpoint I would be looking for another stretch higher to give way to a new low into structural support, where we ultimately want to get positioned for the long-side. Bottom line: the 1.44-handle represents the yearly high-day close and a breach / close above this region would put the broader topside bias back in play. A quarter of the daily average true range (ATR) yields profit targets of 28-32 pips per scalp. Added caution is warranted heading into the Australia CPI & the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision later this week with the releases likely to fuel increased volatility in the Aussie & Kiwi crosses.

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Relevant Data Releases

EUR/AUD Gaps Into Resistance- Pullback to Offer Opportunity

Other Setups in Play:

- Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex contact him at mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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