News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • RT @FxWestwater: Australian Dollar Outlook: $AUDUSD Unfazed by Falling Westpac Confidence Link: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2021/01/20/Australian-Dollar-Outlook-AUDUSD-Unfazed-by-Falling-Westpac-Confidence.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Westwater&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/uSsC…
  • Japanese Yen Price Analysis: AUD/JPY, EUR/JPY Poised to Gain Ground - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/home/analysis/eur-jpy/2021/01/20/Japanese-Yen-Price-Analysis-AUDJPY-EURJPY-Poised-to-Gain-Ground.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Moss&utm_campaign=twr $JPY $AUDJPY $EURJPY https://t.co/LUS1GfqGF5
  • Heads Up:🇮🇩 Business Confidence (Q4) due at 04:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-20
  • Commodities Update: As of 03:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.77% Silver: 0.67% Gold: 0.41% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/vqhNULQSZH
  • A Symmetrical Triangle and long-term trendline resistance provide key levels to watch for NZD/CHF and CAD/CHF. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/kgfZ8qZRRz https://t.co/BhpXTXz5Ir
  • Forex Update: As of 03:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.31% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.17% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.16% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.14% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.13% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.12% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/U975Up5oUh
  • The #HSI looks set to re-challenge the 28,970 resistance. Will it succeed and attempt 30,000 mark today? https://t.co/ujmzRDsByq
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 100.00%, while traders in EUR/JPY are at opposite extremes with 64.29%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/wdG2u51Kl2
  • Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Kato: - Vaccine schedule can't be fixed before approval - Tokyo area still facing severe Covid situation - BBG $USDJPY
  • The British Pound may continue gaining ground against its haven-associated counterparts in the near term. However, the currency may give up gained ground against the New Zealand Dollar.Get your $GBP market update from @DanielGMoss here:https://t.co/cIp4BfbsXT https://t.co/VS6g0Z3FKO
EUR/USD Eyes 1.0580 Support Ahead of 4Q GDP

EUR/USD Eyes 1.0580 Support Ahead of 4Q GDP

Michael Boutros, Strategist

Talking Points

EUR/USD Daily

EUR/USD Daily Chart

Technical Outlook: Euro reversed off parallel resistance extending off the December high this week- Note that the slope of this trendline originates from the broader descending median-line formation extending off the 2016 highs. A hold in daily RSI sub-60 also highlights the threat to the advance off the monthly lows.

EUR/USD 120min

EUR/USD 120min Chart

Notes: A closer look at price action shows Euro trading within the confines of a near-term ascending pitchfork formation extending off the December lows. Note that the break below the median-line / weekly open shifts the near-term focus lower with the decline already taking out initial targets at 1.0672. Subsequent support objectives at the 50-line (currently ~1.0650), the 38.2% retracement at 1.0609 & the lower parallel at 1.0580- area of interest for possible exhaustion / long-entries.

Consensus estimates are calling for a 2.2% q/q clip for US 4Q GDP, down from a previous read of 3.5%. Even though tomorrow’s release is expected to highlight a slowdown in both growth & inflation, the data is unlikely to move the needle as it pertains to monetary policy with Fed Fund Futures still pricing in a 74% probably for an interest rate hike in June. That said, from a trading standpoint, heading into the release I would be looking to fade strength while below the monthly / yearly high-day close at 1.0730 with a move lower targeting downside objectives into structural support.

EUR/USD Eyes 1.0580 Support Ahead of 4Q GDP
  • A summary of the DailyFX Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) shows traders are short EUR/USD - the ratio stands at -1.22 (45% of traders are long)- weak bullish reading
  • Long positions are 21.2% higher than yesterday and 10.8% above levels seen last week
  • Short positions are 14.4% lower than yesterday but 12.9% above levels seen last week
  • Open interest is 1.3% lower than yesterday but remains 12.6% above its monthly average
  • The current dynamic of building long interest highlights the risk of further near-term weakness in price as the ratio continues to narrow from recent extremes of -1.77. Look for a flip to net long in the coming days to suggest that a more significant reversal is underway.

Relevant Data Releases

EUR/USD Eyes 1.0580 Support Ahead of 4Q GDP

Looking for trade ideas? Review DailyFX’s 2017 1Q Projections

Other Setups in Play:

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michaelon Twitter @MBForex contact him at mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES