Talking Points

  • USD/JPY Reveres ahead of monthly open- now testing key support
  • Updated targets & invalidation levels
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USDJPY Daily Chart

Technical Outlook: USDJPY has set its weekly / monthly opening range just above slope support extending off the 2016 lows. A close below this region would suggest a more meaningful correction is underway with such a scenario targeting initial support targets at 114 & the 50-line (currently ~112.30). Interim resistance is eyed at the monthly open at 117 with a breach / close above 118.17 needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend.


USDJPY 120min Chart

Notes: The pair has been trading within the confines of a near-term descending pitchfork formation extending off the highs with today’s rally reversing sharply just ahead of the weekly / monthly opens. The focus remains lower while below today’s high with a break below last week’s low at 115.07 targeting more significant support zone at 113.99-114.15. Subsequent support targets are eyed at 113.47, the 50-line & the 1.618% at 111.80. A quarter of the daily average true range (ATR) yields profit targets of 30-34 pips per scalp. Added caution is warranted tomorrow with a string off Fed speakers on tap.

Relevant Data Releases

USD/JPY Flirts with Support- Bearish Sub 117

Other Setups in Play:

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---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

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