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GBP/USD: Constructive Above 1.3155- Buy the Dip Setup into UK CPI

GBP/USD: Constructive Above 1.3155- Buy the Dip Setup into UK CPI

2016-09-12 18:32:00
Michael Boutros, Strategist
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Talking Points

  • GBPUSD remains constructive heading into key UK data
  • Updated targets & invalidation levels

GBPUSD 120min

GBP/USD: Constructive Above 1.3155- Buy the Dip Setup into UK CPI

Chart Created Using TradingView

Technical Outlook: Sterling is trading within the confines of an ascending pitchfork formation extending off the yearly lows and heading into tomorrow’s UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) the focus remains weighted to the topside while above 1.3155. This level is defined by the 50% retracement of the advance off the August low & the lower median-line parallel and we’ll reserve this threshold as our near-term bullish invalidation level.

Interim resistance stands at 1.3372 backed by confluence resistance into 1.3465 where the 100% extension converges on the ML. More significant resistance stands at 1.3534/49. From a trading standpoint, I would be looking to fade sterling weakness heading into the release with a breach / close above the ML needed to validate the next leg higher in the pound.For the complete setup and to continue tracking this trade & more throughout the week- Subscribe to SB Trade Desk.

Avoid the pitfalls of near-term trading strategies by steering clear of classic mistakes. Review these principles in the "Traits of SuccessfulTraders” series.

GBP/USD: Constructive Above 1.3155- Buy the Dip Setup into UK CPI
  • A summary of the DailyFX Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) shows traders are net shortGBPUSD- the ratio stands at -1.21 (45% of traders are long)- weak bullish reading
  • Long positions are 1.6% lower than yesterday but 1.5% above levels seen last week while Short positions are 7.2% higher than yesterday (unch on the week)
  • Open interest is 3.0% higher than yesterday and 3.5% above its monthly average.
  • The trading crowd has grown further net-short from yesterday but moderated since last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives a mixed near-term trading bias.

Help fine-tune you entries, click here to learn more about the DailyFX Grid Sight Index (GSI)

Relevant Data Releases This Week

GBP/USD: Constructive Above 1.3155- Buy the Dip Setup into UK CPI

Other Setups in Play:

Looking for more trade ideas? Review DailyFX’s Top Trading Opportunity of 2016

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michaelon Twitter @MBForex contact him at mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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