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USD/CAD Contained by Clear Price Levels Ahead of Canadian Employment

USD/CAD Contained by Clear Price Levels Ahead of Canadian Employment

Michael Boutros, Strategist

Talking Points

  • USD/CAD Shorts-scalps favored sub 1.2840 ahead of Canadian jobs data
  • Updated targets & invalidation

USDCAD 30min

Chart prepared by Michael Boutros

Technical Outlook: Earlier this week I highlighted this technical formation in USDCAD with the pair testing near-term resistance today at the median-line extending off the May high. Heading into tomorrow’s Canadian employment report, the focus remains lower while below confluence resistance into 1.2831/40 where the October low converges on a pair of downward sloping median-lines.

From a trading standpoint, I would be looking to sell dollar-strength with interim support targets seen at the 76.4% retracement at 1.2631 backed by 1.2591 & the lower parallel / 1.2540- Note that this converges on a long-dated slope line extending off the 2002 high and if broken would likely see accelerated losses for the pair. A breach above 1.2910/22 is needed to invalidate the broader short-bias. Continue tracking this setup and more throughout the week- Subscribe to SB Trade Desk and take advantage of the DailyFX New Subscriber Discount.

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  • A summary of the DailyFX Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) shows traders are net long USDCAD- the ratio stands at +1.57(61% of traders are long)-bearishreading
  • Yesterday the ratio was +1.56; Long positions are 3.3% lower than yesterday and a full 20% above levels seen last week
  • Traders have remained net long since May 25th – (USDCAD price action topped on 5/24)
  • Open interest is 3.7% lower than yesterday and 3.1% above its monthly average
  • The recent build in long-positioning suggests the downside bias remains in focus and heading into tomorrow’s Canadian employment report.

Help fine-tune your entries, click here to learn more about the DailyFX Grid Sight Index (GSI)

Relevant Data Releases This Week

Other Setups in Play:

Looking for more trade ideas? Review DailyFX’s Top Trading Opportunity of 2016

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michaelon Twitter @MBForex contact him at mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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