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  • The S&P 500 have taken a clear dive to start the week and fear of full risk aversion is gaining traction. DailyFX's @JohnKicklighter discusses what to expect in the markets this week! https://t.co/Mlyp5Tbdax
  • $USD still pulling back from resistance. 93.43 was the Q1 swing high, still playing a role in $DXY support potential around prior res, ~93.20 https://t.co/3TnlEu0yZX https://t.co/ub8o4D8NhW
  • despite the theatrics elsewhere, $Gold has held last week's low through this week's open, at least so far even getting a bump higher. resistance potential 1769-1775 $GC $GLD https://t.co/4mbBa8Yzhu
  • While there is no doubt a risk aversion wave at play now, it can still burn itself out with years of complacency and the expectations of Fed on Wed (anticipation can take the wind out of sails). But if/when the Dollar takes off pre-FOMC, that would be. https://t.co/3qFNBQEEA3
  • Bitcoin probing Fibo support zone ~42,588 #Bitcoin $BTCUSD https://t.co/f5XeSk5VDY https://t.co/zKDRps62Id
  • EUR/USD extends the series of lower highs and lows from the previous week as European Central Bank (ECB) officials defend the dovish forward guidance for monetary policy. Get your $EURUSD market update from @DavidJSong here:https://t.co/4dgXe9lMik https://t.co/5CkSsQKawh
  • There are reasonable disputes over where technical boundaries exist from people with different views, charts, time frames, etc. I think this $SPX gap down and drive below the 50-day SMA clearly qualifies as a break https://t.co/M15HsOyvoG
  • Some people like a quiet market that edges higher consistently day in and day out. I am not one of those people. I like volatility
  • 🇺🇸 NAHB Housing Market Index (SEP) Actual: 76 Expected: 74 Previous: 75 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-20
  • The Fed has a rate decision on Wednesday which means that they’re in a blackout period now, preventing the possibility of Fed-speak to perk markets up until we hear the rate decision later this week. Get your market update from @JStanleyFX here:https://t.co/bYjo3Blq51 https://t.co/F51NbRoIOi
Webinar: USDOLLAR Bearish Sub 11902 Post-NFP; RBA, RBNZ on Tap

Webinar: USDOLLAR Bearish Sub 11902 Post-NFP; RBA, RBNZ on Tap

Michael Boutros, Strategist
  • Post-NFP setups in play- USDOLLAR remains at risk
  • Updated targets & invalidation levels

The post-NFP sell-off in the U.S. Dollar Index encountered near-term key support at 1183.0/39 where the August low-day close converges on the 50% retracement of the advance off the 2016 low. While the greenback is likely to see some near-term recovery on the back of this decline, the focus remains weighted to the downside while below confluence resistance into 11902. We also discussed current setups we’ve been tracking in SB Trade Desk on AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD and EURGBP.

Keep in mind U.S. event risk is rather limited this week so we’ll be looking to broader market sentiment for guidance on our near-term directional bias with the RBA & RBNZ highlighting the economic docket. CAD crosses will also be in focus heading towards the latter part of the week with Canada employment figures on tap for Friday. Continue tracking these setups and more throughout the week- Subscribe to SB Trade Desk and take advantage of the DailyFX New Subscriber Discount.

Check out SSI to see how retail crowds are positioned as well as open interest heading into the open of June trade.

Relevant Data Releases

Webinar: USDOLLAR Bearish Sub 11902 Post-NFP; RBA, RBNZ on Tap

Other Setups in Play:

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Looking for trade ideas? Review DailyFX’s 2016 2Q Projections!

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michaelon Twitter @MBForex contact him at mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list

Join Michael for Live Scalping Webinars on Mondays on DailyFX and Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday’s on SB Trade Desk at 12:30 GMT (8:30ET)

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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