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AUD/JPY Flirting with Pivotal  Support

AUD/JPY Flirting with Pivotal Support

Michael Boutros, Strategist

Talking Points


AUD/JPY Flirting with Pivotal  Support

Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Technical Outlook

  • AUDJPY holding below channel resistance off the October high
  • Interim support 86.13/28- Break lower targets 85.46 & 84.58/72
  • Resistance at 87 backed by near-term bearish invalidation 87.43/50
  • Daily RSI support-trigger pending- break would be bearish
  • Key Event Risk Ahead: Aussie Unemployment tomorrow and Japan Industrial Production & GDP later this week

AUDJPY 30min

AUD/JPY Flirting with Pivotal  Support

Notes: AUDJPY is trading within the confines of these well-defined parallels off the monthly highs with the weekly opening range now set just above key near-term support at 86.47/53. A break below this level keeps the short-bias in focus targeting 086.26/29 backed by the parallel extending off last week’s low & 85.93.

Keep in mind that seasonal are bearish yen (bullish yen crosses) into the year-end so we’ll want to be nimble until we clear the monthly opening range. Interim resistance stands at 86.80 backed by our near-term bearish invalidation level at 87.07. A breach above 87.43/50 is needed to shift the focus back to the long side targeting the October high-day close at 88.35.

A quarter of the daily average true range (ATR) yields profit targets of 22-24 pips per scalp. Added caution is warranted heading into key data out of Australia & Japan this week with the release likely to fuel added volatility in Aussie & Yen crosses.

For updates on this scalp and more setups throughout the week subscribe to SB Trade Desk

Relevant Data Releases Next Week

AUD/JPY Flirting with Pivotal  Support

Other Setups in Play:

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

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