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USDJPY Threatens Opening Range- Sub 118 Targets In View

USDJPY Threatens Opening Range- Sub 118 Targets In View

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Talking Points


Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Technical Outlook

  • USDJPY testing interim support 118.04/18 (near-term bullish invalidation)
  • Resistance 119.85 & 120.66/81- bearish invalidation
  • Weekly opening range to validate near-term scalp bias
  • Support break targets MLP (blue) & 116.93
  • Daily RSI Support & Resistance triggers pending
  • Event Risk Ahead: US Retail Sales tomorrow & CPI, Industrial Production & University of Michigan on Friday

USD/JPY 30min

Notes:The USDJPY is putting in a clean weekly opening range just above near-term support at 118.04/18. We’ve been tracking the pair lower since the post-NFP rally into the 119.70/80 resistance levels as we continue to hold within the confines of a well-formed descending Andrew’s pitchfork formation. The initial weekly opening range looks to be defined by 118-119.30 and we’ll need a break of this range to validate our near-term bias. That said, we’ll continue to favor the short-side while within the confines of this formation.

Bottom line: we’re looking for a break sub-118 to keep our short-bias in play with only a breach above 119.24 invalidating our near-term outlook. Caution is warranted heading into US event risk later this week with inflation data and the University of Michigan confidence surveys likely to fuel added volatility in USD crosses.

* It’s extremely important to give added consideration regarding the timing of intra-day scalps with the opening ranges on a session & hourly basis offering further clarity on intra-day biases.

Relevant Data Releases

Other Setups in Play:

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

For updates on this scalp and more setups follow him on Twitter @MBForex

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.