Talking Points
- GBPNZD testing key support to open the month/year
- Shorts at risk above 1.9722- bullish invalidation
- Event risk on tap next week
GBP/NZD Daily
Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
Technical Outlook
- GBPNZD testing key support region 1.9722/32- (bullish invalidation)
- Weekly / monthly opening ranges taking shape between 1.9722- 2.0060 – (bearish invalidation)
- Break to validate near-term scalp bias
- Daily RSI sitting at 40-support- break below would be bearish
- Event Risk Ahead: BoE Interest Rate Decision on Thursday & UK Industrial/ Manufacturing Production on Friday
GBP/NZD 30min
Notes:The range in focus here is 1.9722- 2.0060 as the weekly/monthly opening range takes shape just above key near-term support. The 1.9722/32 support range is defined by the 88.6% retracement of the late-November rally, the 100% extension off the 2014 high, the 78.6% retracement of the September rally and trendline support off the 2013 low.
The trade may not be quiet ready yet, but we’ll be tracking the pair for a break of this range with our base-case scenario favoring shorts while below TL resistance off the December high. Caution is warranted heading into the later part of the week with UK data likely to fuel added volatility in Sterling based crosses.
* It’s extremely important to give added consideration regarding the timing of intra-day scalps with the opening ranges on a session & hourly basis offering further clarity on intra-day biases.
Relevant Data Releases
---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX
For updates on this scalp and more setups follow him on Twitter @MBForex
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