We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Is there clarity on time of day? There is a material change in the risk around the event whether it is pre-NY open (gap and steady), during NY trade (volatility and steady) or after hours (let fear/greed build over the weekend for a Monday charge) https://t.co/wUSO6d44ns
  • Trump says press conference on China will be held Friday - BBG
  • There is a dramatic departure between yield curve pricing for a recession and other measures of near-term growth; the Q2’20 Atlanta Fed GDPNow is extremely alarming.Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here: https://t.co/eMd3T8EwDO https://t.co/joAVurkmJP
  • US Treasury Yields: 2-Year: 0.174% 3-Year: 0.220% 5-Year: 0.346% 7-Year: 0.537% 10-Year: 0.705% 30-Year: 1.474% $TNX
  • White House Economic Advisor Hassett says some workers going back to their jobs is building confidence $DXY $SPX
  • Gold Price Outlook: XAU Overbought as Cycles Drive the Bullish Trend https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/session_briefing/daily_fundamentals/2020/05/28/Gold-Price-Outlook-XAU-Overbought-as-Cycles-Drive-the-Bullish-JS-Trend.html $Gold https://t.co/ntbvPQTHF9
  • Commodities Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.34% Gold: 0.26% Oil - US Crude: -0.02% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/yvJX18QY14
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.91%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 74.73%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/l7878VS4m7
  • As long as this moves forward, the verbal (Twitter) threats of action between the US and China will garner less and less actual market movement https://t.co/pvGOJuAG4N
  • Indices Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.99% Wall Street: 0.76% FTSE 100: 0.08% France 40: -0.03% Germany 30: -0.11% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/f3oAYUPoEj
Key Risks to EUR, NZD, GBPAUD Scalp Setups

Key Risks to EUR, NZD, GBPAUD Scalp Setups

2014-04-18 16:05:00
Michael Boutros, Strategist
Share:

Talking Points

  • GBPAUD rally fizzles out ahead of key resistance- 1.8022/50 critical
  • NZDUSD eyes monthly low to validate broader reversal
  • EURUSD stuck in key inflection range 1.38-1.3830- weekly open in focus

GBPAUDDaily Chart

Forex-Key-Risks-to-EUR-NZD-GBPAUD-Scalp-Setups_body_Picture_3.png, Key Risks to EUR, NZD, GBPAUD Scalp Setups

Notes: Our favored setup this week was the GBPAUD scalp highlighted on Tuesday. The breach above channel resistance dating back to the March high coupled with a weekly opening range break shifted our focus to the topside with the subsequent rally turning over just 3pips ahead of the 1.8022/50 key resistance range. The focus heading into next week is whether or not this breakout will materialize into a more substantial rally as we keep focus on the broader head and shoulders formation which broke last month. Note that price closed the week just below resistance as the daily RSI signature held below a longer-term resistance trigger dating back to the December high. The broader outlook comes back into focus as we open up trade next week with only a breach/close above 1.8050 suggesting that a more significant low may have been put in this week.

Read more on the GBPAUD setup

NZDUSDDaily Chart

Forex-Key-Risks-to-EUR-NZD-GBPAUD-Scalp-Setups_body_Picture_2.png, Key Risks to EUR, NZD, GBPAUD Scalp Setups

Notes: The NZDUSD setup also played out well this week with a clear weekly opening range break below a Fibonacci support confluence at 8630 validating our bearish scalp bias early in the week. The resulting sell-off achieved two of our three support objectives before settling just below former trendline support/ Fibonacci confluence at 8582. A failure to hold above the initial April opening range highs keeps the focus on the monthly low at 8512 with a break below this threshold suggesting a more significant high was put in place this week.

Read more on the NZDUSD setup

EURUSD Daily Chart

Forex-Key-Risks-to-EUR-NZD-GBPAUD-Scalp-Setups_body_Picture_1.png, Key Risks to EUR, NZD, GBPAUD Scalp Setups

Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Notes: Last week we noted the breach above the April opening range and although the pair continues to hold above the 1.38-handle (bullish invalidation) we remain neutral within the 1.38-1.3830 range. This region has riddled with reversals, throw-overs, and false breaks dating back to the October highs and is highlighted by key longer-term Fibonacci extensions and retracements. Note that we cannot invalidate the broader topside play here so long as price holds above 1.38 and we’ll look for the Sunday/weekly opening range to offer further clarity on our immediate scalp bias with a close below shifting our focus to the short-side of the euro.

Read more on the EURUSD setup

Follow the progress of these trade setups and more throughout the trading week with DailyFX on Demand.

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

For updates on this scalp and more setups follow him on Twitter @MBForex

To contact Michael email mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list

Interested in learning about Fibonacci? Watch this Video

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.