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Lots of Important Headlines, but Little Euro Movement, in Today's Session

Lots of Important Headlines, but Little Euro Movement, in Today's Session

Benjamin Spier, Technical Strategist

Despite a plethora of headlines concerning all the current major themes of the debt crisis, the Euro showed barely any movement in today’s European session, as anticipation builds for the upcoming US nonfarm payroll and unemployment numbers.

The day started with a story from Reuters; the story was about another plea from Greek PM Samaras to a German newspaper. Samaras said that Greece can only manage until the end of November without more aid. He called on the ECB to help by lowering the interest rates on existing Greek debt or to rollover the debt when the bonds mature.

Later in the day, we were told that Chancellor Merkel will be travelling to Athens on October 9 to meet with Samaras. The program for the meeting has yet to be finalized, but the spokesman called it a normal visit. Meanwhile, an unnamed European Union official said today that Greece has enough money to contribute its first 900 million Euro payment to the ESM bailout fund by the October 12 deadline. The official also said that the EU ministers will discuss the Greek aid deal at their meeting next week, but a decision will not be made about the deal for at least two more weeks.

The same EU official said that the Spain bailout is not imminent, if it will happen at all. Meanwhile, Spanish Deputy Economy Minister Latorre said that there is no reason for Spain to miss its deficit target and that Spain is sticking to its growth forecast for 2013. This follows doubts that Spain’s growth forecast is too optimistic for next year and will cause the country to miss its targets.

Additionally, the IMF lowered it global growth forecast to 3.3% in 2012, down from a previous estimate of 3.4%. The KOF Economic Institute lowered its forecast for Swiss growth to 0.9% in 2012 and 1.3% in 2013. Besides for that, there were few economic updates during the European session.

EURUSD has been struggling to stay above the key 1.3000 level since yesterday’s rally past 1.3025. The pair might find resistance at 1.3055, by the 38.2% retracement of the rise from the pair’s all time low to the all time high, and the key 1.3000 level could continue to provide support.

The US nonfarm payroll and unemployment numbers for September will be released at 12:30 GMT, and any deviation from expectations could be reason for a move in US Dollar crosses.

EURUSD 1-hour: October 5, 2012

Lots_of_Important_Headlines_but_Little_Euro_Movement_in_Todays_Session_body_eurusd_daily_chart.png, Lots of Important Headlines, but Little Euro Movement, in Today's Session

--- Written by Benjamin Spier, DailyFX Research

“Meet the DailyFX team in Las Vegas at the annual FXCM Traders Expo, November 2-4, 2012 at the Rio All Suite Hotel & Casino. For additional information regarding the schedule, workshops and accommodations, visit the FXCM Trading Expo website.”

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.