News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • $EURGBP is currently testing around the 0.8910 level, an area that has served as a key level of resistance this week. $EUR $GBP https://t.co/Uc34HhPjVD
  • 🇨🇦 Retail Sales MoM (NOV) Actual: 1.3 Expected: 0.1% Previous: 0.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • What are some factors affecting the USD this quarter? Get your free forecast here: https://t.co/7G7pWntiyY #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/QRHi5s8Vm8
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 100.00%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 66.59%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/fEJdLlUmtf
  • Forex Update: As of 13:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇪🇺EUR: -0.06% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.11% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.29% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.59% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.62% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.70% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/ab9DM9x8QV
  • Heads Up:🇨🇦 Retail Sales MoM (NOV) due at 13:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 0.1% Previous: 0.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • #Gold has fallen this morning, now trading back around $1,840. The precious metal had hit its highest level since the early January selloff yesterday as it tested around $1,870. $XAU $GLD https://t.co/AP8aqLSvOs
  • Get your snapshot update of the of relative currency strength and exchange status from around the globe here: https://t.co/H19vRDCpUJ https://t.co/CRFKPoTOdL
  • 🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY (JAN) Actual: 3.33% Expected: 3.17% Previous: 3.22% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • 🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY (JAN) Actual: 3.33 Expected: 3.17% Previous: 3.22% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
Gold Prices Return Some Gains Despite Broadly Supportive Backdrop

Gold Prices Return Some Gains Despite Broadly Supportive Backdrop

David Cottle, Analyst

Gold and Crude Oil Talking Points:

  • Gold prices edged back despite a far from optimistic market background
  • US-China relations deteriorated further with President Trump overtly blaming his Chinese counterpart
  • Crude oil prices rose once again as US stockpiles were drawn down

Gold prices failed to hold onto the gains with which they started the session.

The backdrop looks obviously supportive with the prospect of near-term economic weakness across the globe leading to massive stimulus and the sort of monetary largesse which tends to support gold prices.

There were signs that risk aversion had picked up too. US President Donald Trump pointed the finger at his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, accusing him via Twitter of direct responsibility for anti-US propaganda. US stock futures slipped a little after this, but the knock-on effect to gold was limited and Asia Pacific equity had a mixed, narrow session.

The remainder of the day offers plenty of interesting economic data points. Purchasing Managers Indexes from Europe and the US will give investors an early snapshot of May activity. Sadly the pictures are unlikely to be reassuring with most expected to be well short of the key 50-point level which separates expansion from contraction.

Gold MIXED
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -2% -11% -4%
Weekly -9% 13% -6%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

Oil prices were higher again, with the market responding to another fall in US stockpile levels. Crude oil stocks fell by five million barrels last week, according to the Energy Information Administration, when the market had expected a one million barrel rise.

However, storage facilities remain very well used and, although there are clear signs that production cuts are restraining supply, levels of demand remain under deep question thanks to the various economic shutdowns either still in force or being unwound only gradually.

Oil - US Crude BEARISH
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 12% -11% 0%
Weekly 13% -10% 1%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

Gold Prices Technical Analysis

Gold Prices, Daily Chart

Gold prices remain well within their daily-chart uptrend and have just made a new higher high within it. However, a range of resistance from late 2012 still stands between gold’s bulls and the market’s all time highs from earlier that year.

So far the market has only managed a single, quick intraday foray into that range with very little follow through. If prices have not pushed into that range by month end then some correction lower may well be seen, possibly even testing psychological support at $1700/ounce.

However there seems little fundamental reason why gold prices should reverse now and an eventual move into that resistance zone and, quite possibly, above it, looks more likely.

Crude Oil Prices Technical Analysis

US Crude Oil Prices, Daily Chart

US crude oil prices remain above the steep uptrend line in place since late April and have edged into their own resistance zone formed by trading levels seen on the way down between March 8 and 16. Above this the key $40/barrel level will beckon. That hasn’t been seen for more than two months. However, given the clear question marks hanging over Covid-hit fundamental demand, it may be likely that the market will have to see a period on consolidation before seriously challenging $40.

Commodity Trading Resources

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter@DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES