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Crude Oil Price Down on Coronavirus Worries, US Stocks Drop

Crude Oil Price Down on Coronavirus Worries, US Stocks Drop

David Cottle, Analyst

Crude Oil and Gold Talking Points:

  • Crude prices edged down further in Asia having slumped heavily in the previous session
  • Fears about the spread of coronavirus have investors worries about its effects on growth
  • Gold prices were a little lower too, but held broadly steady

Crude oil prices continued to fall on Thursday after very sharp slides in the previous session as investors withdrew from such growth-correlated assets on concerns at the spread of Wuhan-strain coronavirus.

The disease has reportedly killed seventeen people since emerging in the now-quarantined Chinese city in late 2020, with cases suspected or confirmed as far away as Japan and the United States. The Sudden Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) pandemic of 2003 also began in China, hitting economic growth and seriously reducing air travel. Although there is no way to tell how or even if this latest virus will compare, markets are fragile.

Crude oil prices were also weighed down by Wednesday’s news of a surprise inventory build in the US. The Energy Information Authority said that 1.57 million barrels had been added to stocks, confounding market expectations of a million-barrel drawdown.

Gold Steady Near Highs, Slips a Little

Gold prices were modestly lower on the day, apparently unable to capitalize on weakness in risk sentiment elsewhere. However, they are also effectively steady on the daily chart and remain close to this month’s peaks which are also near-seven-year highs.

If the coronavirus story will permit the market will look to the European Central Bank’s January monetary policy decision which is due later in the global session. The ECB is not expected to offer more accommodation, but its President Christine Lagarde may well strike a dovish tone. That could offer the support gold customarily gets from loose policy outlooks.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Crude Oil Price Down on Coronavirus Worries, US Stocks Drop

Prices have retraced close to seven-week lows, with Wednesday’s notable down day taking out the entire retracement support band which had previously survived quite a few tests. With that out of the way late November’s lows in the $54.79 region are in the bears’ sights as immediate support with the entire rise up from October 3’s two month low of $51.05 likely in question if they give way.

Gold Technical Analysis

Gold prices’ impressive ascent has clearly slowed somewhat in the last three weeks, with narrow weekly ranges perhaps indicative of a market rethink of the impulse which saw gold rise to the notable highs of early January.

Crude Oil Price Down on Coronavirus Worries, US Stocks Drop

However, there’s equally clearly no impulse to take much profit at current elevated levels and, while the coronavirus story dominates the headlines, it is tough to see gold heading much below psychological support in the $1500/ounce region which has held since late December.

Commodity Trading Resources

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter @DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.