We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • US Treasury Yields: 2-Year: 1.185% 3-Year: 1.160% 5-Year: 1.165% 7-Year: 1.259% 10-Year: 1.337% 30-Year: 1.811% $TNX
  • The #Euro held up relatively well despite the rising spread of the #coronavirus, which has impacted parts of Italy.Get your $EUR market update from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/ZTcqoc1aw9 https://t.co/tzGeUa6YOP
  • Going live in 5 for today's equity webinar where we'll be going over $SPX and $NDX levels and themes to watch on the fundamental side in the days ahead Join here - https://t.co/rmwDACaTEA https://t.co/9umOwAeAyD
  • Forex Update: As of 15:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: -0.05% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.09% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.14% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.30% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.57% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.62% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/sRGOonkZ8U
  • Indices Update: As of 15:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 1.59% Wall Street: 1.54% France 40: 0.31% Germany 30: -0.04% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/iw4QKG5K6n
  • USD/CNH Price: Will USD Rally Further vs Chinese Yuan on Coronavirus Fears? More details in the link below: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/home/analysis/usd-cnh/2020/02/26/USDCNH-Price-Will-USD-Rally-Further-vs-Chinese-Yuan-on-Coronavirus-Fears-MK.html?CHID=9&QPID=917714 https://t.co/7dBtvfrN8T
  • $USD looks like it wants to break out of this bull flag. Currently restrained by trend-line resistance... support from the 38.2 of the February rally https://t.co/y9mmVYGlsa
  • Health Secretary Azar says US is technically in containment state on virus - BBG
  • A weekly chart of $VIX overlaid with the $SPX. We are at the point where the market is feeling out whether this week's collapse was enough to satisfy the blood letting https://t.co/5e2vmo2eI8
  • 🇺🇸 USD DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (FEB 21), Actual: 452k Expected: 1815k Previous: 415k https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-02-26
Crude Oil Prices Hold Close to 3-Month Highs On US-China Trade Hopes

Crude Oil Prices Hold Close to 3-Month Highs On US-China Trade Hopes

2019-12-31 07:01:00
David Cottle, Analyst
Share:

Crude Oil and Gold, Talking Points:

  • Crude prices are supported by reports that the US and China might sign an interim trade deal very soon
  • Continued if modest expansion for Chinese manufacturing this month may have helped the bulls too
  • Gold prices are looking very stretched as they power up to three-month highs
Oil - US Crude MIXED
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 9% -1% 7%
Weekly -8% 6% -5%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

Crude oil prices remained close to three-month highs on Tuesday but beyond that barely moved in a session which saw most major financial markets in the Asia Pacific region either closed or ending business early for the new year break.

Prices have been boosted since October by increased optimism on US-China trade relations. Moves to deepen and extend production cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, and others like Russia, have also helped the bulls’ cause.

This week US air strikes against Iranian-backed militias in Syria and Iraq have put Middle Eastern geopolitics back front and center, with Libya also in the mix. Its state oil firm said on Monday that the closure of Zawiya Port and the evacuation of its refinery were under consideration thanks to armed clashes nearby.

There may have been some support for the market on Tuesday following news that December saw China’s very modest manufacturing expansion continue for a second month.

The market remains overwhelmingly focused on trade as the year ends, with reports suggesting that an interim phase one deal between Washington and Beijing could be signed within days.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis

US Crude Oil, Daily Chart.

The uptrend channel from early October remains well in place. With prices testing the upper boundary some investors may draw comfort from the fact that the holiday season has seen no major profit-taking impulse, suggesting in turn that the climb higher may resume once trading levels get back to normal.

For the shorter-term however the price looks stuck between September’s highs, at which the latest rally seems to be topping out, and the lows of last week at $59.97.

Gold Rides High Despite Improved Risk Appetite

Stock markets in the US may still be close to record highs but the concurrent rise of anti-risk assets like gold is certainly notable too.

Gold, Daily Chart

Rising since mid-November prices have smashed back above the first 23.6% retracement of the rise up from May’s lows to September highs. That came in at $1485.26 and was broken above on December 24. Since then gold has forged on, up to peaks not seen since late September.

For now bulls are struggling with a band of resistance immediately above the market which guards the way back to those peaks. With gold now looking extremely overbought it will be difficult to trust in the durability of any further near-term gains. That said the same lack of obvious profit-taking seen in the oil market suggests that investors have not abandoned hope of more upside once 2020 trade gets under way.

There’s not much fight left in 2019 as far as economic data are concerned but Tuesday’s US house price and consumer confidence numbers may yet command attention.

Gold BEARISH
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 3% -8% -1%
Weekly 17% -25% -1%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

Commodity Trading Resources

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter@DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.