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Crude Oil Prices May Validate Bearish Chart Cues on Growth Fears

Crude Oil Prices May Validate Bearish Chart Cues on Growth Fears

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

CRUDE OIL & GOLD TALKING POINTS:

Sentiment-sensitive crude oil prices fell alongside stocks on Friday as disappointing PMI data fueled global slowdown fears and stocked risk aversion, as expected. Gold prices managed a tepid rise as bond yields fell, boosting the relative appeal of non-interest-bearing assets. Upside progression was capped as haven-seeking flows buoyed the US Dollar however.

CRUDE OIL PRICES MAY FALL AMID RISK AVERSION

Looking ahead, a muted offering on the economic data docket seems likely to keep the trajectory of broad-based risk appetite as the main driver for price action. Bellwether S&P 500 futures are tellingly pointing lower, suggesting Friday’s risk-off tilt is likely to remain in place. That bodes ill for oil prices. Meanwhile, gold will probably continue to weigh competing influences from bond yields and the Greenback.

Learn what other traders’ gold buy/sell decisions say about the price trend!

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Gold prices still look to be carving out a somewhat choppy Head and Shoulders top, but confirmation remains absent. Completing the pattern would require a reversal back below the 1303.70-09.12 area, followed by a breach of neckline support at 1282.05. Alternatively, a move above near-term resistance at 1326.30 sets the stage for a retest of the February top at 1346.75.

Gold price chart - daily

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Crude oil prices may be signaling a top with the formation of a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below initial support in the 57.24-88 area would confirm the setup, initially exposing the 55.37-75 zone next. Alternatively, a push above resistance marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 60.45targets the 50% level at 62.28.

Crude oil price chart - daily

COMMODITY TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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