We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • 🇯🇵 JPY Industrial Production (YoY) (DEC F), Actual: -0.4% Expected: N/A Previous: -3.0% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-02-17
  • The US Dollar gained versus SGD and IDR despite a “risk-on” tone in markets, boosted by strong declines in the Euro. What is the week ahead for $USDSGD, $USDIDR, $USDPHP and $USDMYR? #USD #ASEAN #Euro - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/special_report/2020/02/17/US-Dollar-USDSGD-USDIDR-May-Rise-on-FOMC-Minutes-and-Repos.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/YMkZ4WhG0A
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 JPY Industrial Production (YoY) (DEC F) due at 04:30 GMT (15min), Actual: N/A Expected: N/A Previous: -3.0% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-02-17
  • Commodities Update: As of 03:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.63% Oil - US Crude: -0.02% Gold: -0.11% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/oNEkMGVhyX
  • Forex Update: As of 03:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.17% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.11% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.07% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.01% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.03% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.04% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/6TDJo3StbI
  • LIVE NOW: Join DailyFX Senior Strategist @IlyaSpivak LIVE as he discusses the outlook for the financial markets in the week ahead! https://www.dailyfx.com/webinars/889679267
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.27%, while traders in Germany 30 are at opposite extremes with 84.48%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/Hp25WV8QCx
  • LIVE IN 30 MIN: Join DailyFX Senior Strategist @IlyaSpivak LIVE as he discusses the outlook for the financial markets in the week ahead! https://www.dailyfx.com/webinars/889679267
  • #NOK, #AUD and #SEK are expected to be the most active G10 currencies vs USD with 1-week implied volatility at 7.35, 7.76 and 6.72, respectively
  • Tune in to @IlyaSpivak 's #webinar at 10:00 PM ET/3:00 AM GMT for insight on the cross market weekly outlook. Register here: https://t.co/E213bTtq5C https://t.co/Mh5NxU5BsU
Crude Oil Prices May Turn Lower From Resistance Near $72

Crude Oil Prices May Turn Lower From Resistance Near $72

2018-05-18 03:30:00
Ilya Spivak, Sr. Currency Strategist
Share:

CRUDE OIL & GOLD TALKING POINTS:

  • Crude oil price continue to show signs of topping below $72/bbl
  • Gold prices desperately clinging to support from December 2016
  • Lull in top-tier event risk might translate into kneejerk volatility

Commodity prices languished in digestion mode yesterday, as expected. Crude oil and gold prices swung between gains and losses as the absence of an obvious directional catalyst translated into directionless drift. They have been trading as a foil to Fed-driven US Dollar gains. Without fresh fodder feeding that narrative one way or another, they were left them rudderless.

EVENT RISK LULL MAY BOOST KNEEJERK VOLATILITY

Looking ahead, another quiet day on the economic calendar might make for continued consolidation into the end of the trading week. Market participants hungry for a catalyst may pounce on stray headline flow more readily however, which might translate into kneejerk volatility. Traders would be wise not to over-interpret such moves and assume their magnitude necessarily implies follow-through however.

See our quarterly crude oil price forecast to learn what will drive the trend through mid-year!

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Gold prices are digesting losses having dropped to the outer layer of support establishing the uptrend from December 2016, now at 1286.55. A daily close below that exposes the 1260.80-66.44 area. Alternatively, a push back above 1304.73 targets falling trend line resistance at 1316.69.

Gold daily price chart

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Signs of topping continue to mark crude oil price action, from negative RSI divergence t the formation of a rising Wedge chart pattern. A break below resistance-turned-support at 69.53 opens the door for another test of the 66.22-67.36 area. Alternatively, a breach above the May 10 high at 71.86 confirmed on a daily closing basis exposes wedge top resistance at 73.24.

Crude oil daily price chart

COMMODITY TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.