News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • The US Dollar is looking increasingly vulnerable to ASEAN FX, with USD/SGD and USD/THB breaching key support. USD/IDR is eyeing a Rising Wedge, USD/PHP may face February lows. Get your $USD market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/7rSQztIR8z https://t.co/PUNeByV2Ls
  • EUR/USD rocketed higher during early trade, reclaiming the 1.20 handle $EURUSD https://t.co/G04a5892IB
  • @ddubrovskyFX 'The Four Candle Phenom'
  • AUD/USD appears to be on track to negate the head-and-shoulders formation from earlier this year as it clears the opening range for April. Get your $AUDUSD market update from @DavidJSong here:https://t.co/kG7JGNLyve https://t.co/XB5eu2zH53
  • @JohnKicklighter One Bear Pennant coming right up! https://t.co/RVTxa123bH
  • Anyone doing any good technical analysis on $COIN yet?
  • Forex Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇬🇧GBP: 1.08% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.60% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.50% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.46% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.32% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.20% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/hSubj68ZHD
  • Commodities Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.08% Gold: -0.32% Silver: -0.55% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/BJga7KvgMr
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.55%, while traders in Germany 30 are at opposite extremes with 80.61%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/uK7z1OwAvN
  • IBM Q1 2021 Earnings: - Revenue: $17.73B (est: $17.32B) - Operating EPS: $1.77 (est: $1.65) ***Reaffirms FY Outlook*** $IBM
Gold Prices Hit 3-Month High as Fed Rate Hike Outlook Sours

Gold Prices Hit 3-Month High as Fed Rate Hike Outlook Sours

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • Gold prices rise on cooling Fed interest rate hike speculation
  • Crude oil prices rise as DOE inventory gain trails API estimate
  • Fed-speak in the spotlight as “Trump trade” continues to fizzle

Gold prices rose as US rate hike bets cooled. The priced-in projection for the year-end level of the benchmark Fed Funds rate fell to the lowest in two months, pulling Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar down in tandem. This bolstered the appeal of non-interest-bearing and anti-fiat assets including the yellow metal.

Crude oil prices rebounded following the prior day’s dramatic selloff despite a DOE report showing inventories rose by 13.8 million barrels last week. While this was much higher than the 2.7m build expected by economists, it was smaller than the 14.2m gain foreshadowed in analogous API data.

Another quiet day on the economic data docket puts Fed-speak in the spotlight. Comments from St. Louis and Chicago Fed Presidents James Bullard and Charles Evans are on tap. Commodities may extend gains if lingering fiscal policy uncertainty appears to have undermined officials’ appetite for rate hikes.

Want to discuss the outlook for crude oil and gold prices with a DailyFX analyst? Join a webinar!

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSISGold prices resumed their upward march after a brief respite, hitting the highest level in three months. Near-term resistance remains at 1240.88, the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion, with daily close above that exposing the 76.4% level at 1255.08. Alternatively, a move back below the 50% Fib at 1229.40 targets the 38.2% expansion at 1217.91.

Gold Prices Hit 3-Month High as Fed Rate Hike Outlook Sours

Chart created using TradingView

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSISCrude oil prices rebounded from support at a rising trend line that has limited downside moves for the past two months. From here, a break back above support-turned-resistance at 52.44 opens the door for a test of now-familiar range resistance at 53.86. Alternatively, a push below the trend line – now at 51.64 – targets the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 50.25.

Gold Prices Hit 3-Month High as Fed Rate Hike Outlook Sours

Chart created using TradingView

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES