We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Dialing back, the low last month was created around a very, very long-term trend-line extending up since 1982. Get your #DAX market update from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/Vaf1KXghqe https://t.co/TUwVPvuQkw
  • Trump: Can do phase 4 stimulus bill "later", sees understanding with Democrats on loan program funding. Calling on Congress to pass loan program funding this week -BBG
  • US President Donald Trump: Could reopen country in phases, may be ahead of schedule. Have to be on downside of slope to reopen the economy -BBG
  • USD/CAD Trading Forecast - via @DailyFX: Canadian Dollar Eyes Jobs Data, Oil & OPEC+ Link to Analysis: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/home/analysis/usd-cad/2020/04/08/usdcad-forecast-canadian-dollar-eyes-jobs-data-oil-opec.html $USDCAD $CL_F #WTI #OOTT #Forex #FX https://t.co/mSrFIcdSs9
  • Fed's Kaplan: -Sees US unemployment rate rising above 10% to 'mid teens' but fall between 7-8% by year end -US GDP may plunge 25-35% in 2Q, shrink 4-5% on balance this year
  • RT @LiveSquawk: Fed's Kaplan: US GDP May Shrink 25% To 35% In Second Quarter, Then Grow In Second Half - RTRS - Sees US GDP Shrinking 4% T…
  • For Thursday's trading session we have: the RBA Financial Stability Review; UK GDP; Canadian employment; US consumer confidence (UMich for April) and the OPEC+ meeting. High profile event risk overriding liquidity fade into Good Friday?
  • $EURUSD Daily Pivot Points: S3: 1.0647 S2: 1.0762 S1: 1.0827 R1: 1.0941 R2: 1.0991 R3: 1.1106 https://www.dailyfx.com/pivot-points?ref=SubNav?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=DFXGeneric&utm_campaign=twr
  • #Gold prices rallied by more than 7.7% from the April 1st low into yesterday’s. high. Get your $XAUUSD technical analysis from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/M9QeP4a5QH https://t.co/xc847ElRxe
  • RT @hmeisler: RUT green 3 straight. Hasn't gone 4 since early Feb.
Gold Prices May Snap Win Streak if US CPI Revives Fed Hike Bets

Gold Prices May Snap Win Streak if US CPI Revives Fed Hike Bets

2017-01-18 05:09:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
Share:

Talking Points:

  • Gold prices extend win streak as “Trump trade” unwinding resumes
  • US CPI data may reboot Fed rate hike bets, weigh on precious metals
  • Crude oil prices mark time, may find renewed momentum in API data

Gold prices accelerated upward, posting the largest advance in two weeks. In a familiar fashion, the metal rose as the US Dollar fell alongside Treasury bond yields, boosting the appeal of anti-fiat and non-interest-bearing assets.

The news-wires were quick to attribute the move to comments from US President-elect Trump, who said the greenback is “too strong” in an interview with the Wall Street Journal. In fact, it started some time earlier and seems to mark the return of “Trump trade” unwinding as the dominant market theme after it had been briefly overshadowed by “hard Brexit” fears at the start of the week.

Looking ahead, December’s US CPI data is in focus. The headline on-year inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.1 percent, the highest since June 2014. US economic data has increasingly outperformed relative to consensus forecasts in recent weeks. A similar upside surprise this time around may echo December’s strong wage growth data, rekindling Fed rate hike speculation and weighing on gold.

Crude oil prices continue to mark time in familiar territory as markets waited for fresh fodder to drive directional momentum. That may come in the form of weekly API inventories data due later today. Comments from key policymakers and investors at the World Economic Forum ongoing in Davos may also have market-moving potential.

Will gold and crude oil prices continue to rise in the first quarter of 2017? See our forecasts here!

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSISGold prices have rallied for a seventh consecutive day, making for the longest winning streak in over two months. From here, a daily close above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1219.20 exposes the 1248.98-50.65 area (50% level, June 24 low). Alternatively, a reversal below resistance-turned-support at 1199.80 (May 30 low) targets the 23.6% Fib at 1182.36.

Gold Prices May Snap Win Streak if US CPI Revives Fed Hike Bets

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSISCrude oil prices continue to struggle to build on the promise of a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. A daily close above the 23.6% Fibonacci expansionat 53.75 targets the 55.21-65 area (swing high, 38.2% level). Alternatively, a turn back below resistance-turned-support at 52.44 exposes the 50.25-69 zone (38.2% Fib retracement, January 10 low).

Gold Prices May Snap Win Streak if US CPI Revives Fed Hike Bets

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.