News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • WTI crude oil prices (WTI) lost 4.7% so far this week. Demand concerns and a rising US Dollar sent crude oil prices lower on Thursday. Cloudy economic recovery prospects weighed on sentiment, despite falling US crude inventories. https://t.co/nVHCe4DX3g
  • Based on recent price action in the US Dollar, might... $USDSGD $USDMYR $USDPHP $USDIDR ...be heading higher next? Check out my latest #ASEAN technical update here - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2020/09/24/US-Dollar-Comeback-Ahead-USDSGD-USDMYR-USDPHP-USDIDR.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/9sIQFVeydt
  • Wall Street Futures Update: Dow Jones (-0.393%) S&P 500 (-0.418%) Nasdaq 100 (-0.653%) [delayed] -BBG
  • An economic calendar is a resource that allows traders to learn about important economic information scheduled to be released. Stay up to date on the most important global economic data here: https://t.co/JdvW6HNuqV https://t.co/FXpr6RibWT
  • Markets attempted pull risk trends out of their dive this past session, but sentiment (via $SPX) ultimately returned to its bearish course. Meanwhile, $EURUSD is consistent with its reversal. My video for today: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/09/24/EURUSD-Extends-its-Dive-as-Late-Day-Selloff-Puts-SP-500-On-Verge-of-Correction.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/Q6JZKW2B1y
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.57%, while traders in EUR/GBP are at opposite extremes with 64.76%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/JHNAiIgVLv
  • Forex Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇭CHF: 0.11% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.02% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.06% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.08% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.22% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.33% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/im3IxxDQ3y
  • Indices Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: 0.15% US 500: 0.12% FTSE 100: -0.94% Germany 30: -1.00% France 40: -1.04% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/X6mMfIY6HW
  • The US Dollar, British Pound, and Euro will all be closely watching key geopolitical developments in North America (Powell testimony), the UK (Brexit talks) and Europe (EU summit). Get your market update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/q4AJW6PTCu https://t.co/e0rwBFOnqX
  • RT @stlouisfed: The current recession has in many ways been more extreme than the Great Depression, yet the economy is projected to recover…
Copper Heads For 5th Straight Day Of Declines, China PMI In Spotlight

Copper Heads For 5th Straight Day Of Declines, China PMI In Spotlight

2014-02-28 04:24:00
David de Ferranti, Currency Analyst
Share:

Talking Points

  • Copper falls further in Asian trading with support at 3.175
  • Precious metals recover lost ground as greenback drops
  • China official PMI and US GDP figures to offer cues

Crude oil weakened in US trading overnight as the commodity looks set to post its first weekly loss since the beginning of January. Meanwhile gold and silver have recovered some ground as broad US Dollar weakness has benefited the precious metals space. Upcoming revised fourth quarter US GDP figures and China manufacturing data are likely to give further bearings to the commodities space.

Growth-Sensitive Commodities Flounder

Despite a fresh record high for the S&P 500 overnight, suggesting improving investor sentiment, growth-sensitive commodities like crude oil, copper and natural gas suffered declines for the trading session. Profit-taking may be to blame for crude’s fall, given its string of 6 consecutive gains in preceding weeks. While, concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown have likely weighed on copper, and expectations for milder US weather conditions have weakened demand for natural gas.

Precious Metals Recover as Greenback Drops

The US Dollar continues to struggle as bullish investor sentiment is likely weakening safe-haven demand for the reserve currency, which in turn has benefited gold and silver. The greenback continued early declines during US trading following comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen, suggesting that recent disappointing US economic data may be temporary and attributable to weather-related factors.

US GDP and China Manufacturing Data to Offer Commodities Further Guidance

Upcoming US fourth quarter GDP figures are tipped to be revised lower to 2.5% according to the median estimate from a Bloomberg survey of economists. A weaker-than-anticipated print would continue a string of recent downside surprises for US economic data. However, its potential impact on risk trends may be limited, given the market has largely shrugged off disappointing readings over the past month. Without a resurgence of risk-aversion, a greenback recovery may not gain traction, which would likely benefit gold and silver.

Official China manufacturing PMI figures set to be released over the weekend may also prove noteworthy for risk trends in light of mounting concerns over a potential slowdown in the world’s second largest economy. A miss would likely weigh on copper prices due to implications for weakening Chinese demand for the commodity.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – The 61.8% Fib Retracement level from the September High at $103.30 has acted to cap oil’s advance for the time-being. A Hanging Man candle formation on the daily is hinting at a reversal, however, a shift to a downtrend would be required before offering a bearish technical bias. Fading momentum signaled by the rate of change indicator suggests that such a shift is drawing closer.

Copper_Heads_For_5th_Straight_Day_Of_Declines_China_PMI_In_Spotlight_body_Picture_5.png, Copper Heads For 5th Straight Day Of Declines, China PMI In Spotlight

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

NATURAL GAS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The plunge in natural gas prices has led to a spike in volatility for the commodity. With sellers having pushed prices below support at 4.550 further declines would likely prompt buyers to emerge at the 4.210 level.

Copper_Heads_For_5th_Straight_Day_Of_Declines_China_PMI_In_Spotlight_body_Picture_4.png, Copper Heads For 5th Straight Day Of Declines, China PMI In Spotlight

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS After teasing at an upside break gold has failed to hold above $1,336 (61.8% Fib Retracement Level). An uptrend on the daily supports further gains for the commodity and declines are likely to be met by support at the $1,306 mark.

Copper_Heads_For_5th_Straight_Day_Of_Declines_China_PMI_In_Spotlight_body_Picture_3.png, Copper Heads For 5th Straight Day Of Declines, China PMI In Spotlight

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

SILVER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The silver bulls appear to have lost the battle to hold onto gains for the precious metal around the 22.00 level. This follows a signal from the rate of change indicator indicating a fading of upside momentum. While we’ve broken below support around 21.50, a shift towards a downtrend is required before offering a bearish bias for the commodity.

Copper_Heads_For_5th_Straight_Day_Of_Declines_China_PMI_In_Spotlight_body_Picture_2.png, Copper Heads For 5th Straight Day Of Declines, China PMI In Spotlight

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

COPPER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Copper is heading towards support at $3.175 following a break through the 23.6% Fib Level at 3.235. With a shift in the trend indicated by prices moving below their 20 SMA a bearish technical bias is offered.

Copper_Heads_For_5th_Straight_Day_Of_Declines_China_PMI_In_Spotlight_body_Picture_1.png, Copper Heads For 5th Straight Day Of Declines, China PMI In Spotlight

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by David de Ferranti, Market Analyst, FXCM Australia

To receive David’sanalysis directly via email, please sign up here

Contact and follow David on Twitter: @DaviddeFe

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES