News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
More View more
Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Boosted on Vaccine Sentiment, More to Go?

Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Boosted on Vaccine Sentiment, More to Go?

Thomas Westwater, Analyst

AUD/USD, Moderna Vaccine, Covid – Talking Points

  • Moderna vaccine news lifts sentiment, Wall Street stocks rise
  • AUD/USD breaks above 0.73 handle, eyes 2020 high
  • RBA minutes, Governor Lowe speech on tap

Australian Dollar strength is receiving a boost from further positive Covid vaccine news. The American-based biotechnology company Moderna announced results from its interim analysis showing a 94.5% efficacy rate. Wall Street stocks echoed the broader sentiment seen in the Aussie-Dollar as the Dow Jones index led the U.S. equity group with a 1.60% gain. The announcement from Moderna comes only a week after Pfizer’s report on its own positive vaccine results.

Industrial production data out of China likely also spurred some confidence in markets. China reported a 6.9% rise in output on a year-over-year basis, beating forecasts of 6.5%. Foreign direct investment surprised to the upside at the tune of 6.4% for October, also on a year-over-year basis. Retail sales came in weaker than expected but still grew from the previous month. Data from the world’s second-largest economy is a huge boon for confidence in the global economic recovery.

Dow Jones Index vs AUD/USD 1-Hour Chart

DJI vs aud/usd

Chart created with TradingView

Tuesday’s Asia Pacific Outlook

Sentiment appears poised to spill over into the Asia Pacific trading session. New Zealand’s services sector expanded for October according to BusinessNZ. The PSI for October crossed the wires at 51.4, a one-point increase from the previous month. The data, combined with last week’s PMI, shows New Zealand’s economy on the path to recovery following the Covid pandemic.

The DailyFX Economic Calendar highlights upcoming unemployment data out of Hong Kong, and PPI figures from New Zealand. Later in the day, RBA Governor Philip Lowe will give a speech at the Australian’s Strategic Forum 2020. While not expected to be a large market-moving event, traders will be keen to listen for any actionable language on the path of easing from Lowe.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Golden Cross

Chart created with TradingView

The Australian Dollar is capitalizing on the uptick in market sentiment against the US Dollar. After Monday’s gain in the Aussie-Dollar, AUD/USD is now trading above its 2019 high once more. The 2020 high from early September serves as the level for price action to break before aiming for new peaks.

A recent cross in the pair’s moving averages may likely signal further upside momentum. The 20-day moving average has shifted above the 50-day one, this bullish signal is referred to as a Golden-Cross. AUD/USD is within 2% of the September high which gives a chance for new peaks to be taken, perhaps as soon as this week, should sentiment hold.

AUD/USD Trading Resources

Just getting started? See our beginners’ guide for FX traders

What is your trading personality? Take our quiz to find out

Join a free webinar and have your trading questions answered

--- Written by Thomas Westwater, Analyst for

To contact Thomas, use the comments section below or @FxWestwater on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.