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Crude Oil Prices Ripe for Rebound One Day Ahead of Presidential Election?

Crude Oil Prices Ripe for Rebound One Day Ahead of Presidential Election?

Dimitri Zabelin, Analyst

2020 Election, Analysis, 2020 Polls, Biden-Trump Spread, Crude Oil Analysis - Talking Points

  • It is officially 1 day before voters cast the ballot as polls show a new trend
  • Biden leading Trump but below 7-point average he’s held for a few months
  • Crude oil prices bouncing from key support at 36.45 – turnaround ahead?


In 24 hours, it will officially be election day. Polls continue to show Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the lead ahead of incumbent President Donald Trump. Having said that, the latest polls are indicating that the former Vice President is only ahead by roughly 6.8 points, slightly less than the typical 7-point average he’s maintained for several months.

2020 US Election Polls

Chart showing polls

Source: RealClearPolitics

According to Politico forecasts, states like Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania are leaning more towards Biden. Others are up in the air, but Texas – a Republican stronghold with growing shades of purple now – remains heavily leaning in favor of Trump. The swing states will likely be the highlight of the election, and uncertainty there could push the haven-linked USD higher and Brent lower.

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Crude Oil Outlook

Crude oil prices may be starting to form the beginning of a rebound just above oscillating resistance/support at 36.45. The next major obstacle to clear will likely again be the pre-OPEC plunge at 45.51 where Brent shied away from clearing throughout early August. With the election coming up, given the far-reaching magnitude of its implications, crude may spike and edge closer to key resistance. Why might crude oil rise?

Crude Oil - Daily Chart

Chart showing crude oil prices

Crude oil chart created using TradingView

--- Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Currency Analyst for

To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or @ZabelinDimitri on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.