News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • GBPCHF remains interesting...all 3 moving averages look positive, with added 50-/200-sdma 'golden cross' being formed, horizontal resistance being probed #sterling #gbpchf @DailyFXTeam https://t.co/Qc3RsDrCnd
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 BoJ Gov Kuroda Speech due at 12:05 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-24
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 93.82%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 74.94%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/5eNiox9C77
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Unemployment Rate (OCT) due at 12:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 5% Previous: 5.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-24
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM (NOV) due at 12:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 0.24% Previous: 0.54% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-24
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY (NOV) due at 12:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 3.63% Previous: 4.09% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-11-24
  • Gold looks sick...and not in the youth 'really brilliant' kind of way...#gold #xauusd @DailyFXTeam https://t.co/7fMiQ0RQKS
  • Commodities Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.20% Gold: -1.53% Silver: -1.92% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/aM3SZEpfOf
  • The US Dollar lost ground to most ASEAN currencies as Emerging Market assets climbed despite US economic woes. USD/INR is eyeing third-quarter Indian GDP at the end of the week. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/urDN2b5Nwd https://t.co/mnWY1Ms5HC
  • Forex Update: As of 11:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.89% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.87% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.35% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.28% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.22% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.02% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/aKznxbBnzA
USD May Rise After Trump Called for Post-Election Delay in Stimulus Talks

USD May Rise After Trump Called for Post-Election Delay in Stimulus Talks

2020-10-06 23:00:00
Dimitri Zabelin, Analyst
Share:

2020 Election, USD, Trump, US Fiscal Stimulus Package - Talking Points

  • Trump calls of fiscal stimulus talks until after election, markets pay the price
  • Biden-Trump spread widest ever recorded ahead of vice presidential debate
  • AUD/USD fundamentals and technicals aligning – where is the pair headed?
Advertisement

28 DAYS UNTIL THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

It is officially four weeks until the US presidential election, and political volatility around the situation continues to build. President Donald Trump was recently released from the Walter Reed medical center, where he was being temporarily treated for Covid-19. Despite his quick return to the White House, recent polling data is indicating a landslide victory for Democratic nominee Joe Biden.

2020 US Election Polls

USD May Rise After Trump Called for Post-Election Delay in Stimulus Talks

Source: RealClearPolitics

Following the first presidential debate on September 29, the spread between Mr. Biden and Trump widened to 25.5, the biggest divergence ever recorded between the two candidates. With the upcoming vice-presidential debate on October 7, this dynamic will likely be amplified if Biden’s running mate Kamala Harris outperforms VP Mike Pence.

Forex for Beginners
Forex for Beginners
Recommended by Dimitri Zabelin
Learn how to become a more consistent forex trader
Get My Guide

Fiscal Stimulus Talks Break Down, Drag Markets with Them

On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump announced that he is instructing key officials in his administration to cease all fiscal stimulus-related negotiations with Democrats until after the election on November 3. While talks up until this point were not encouraging, market price action suggested that investors were betting that the atmosphere of urgency for additional aid would force Republicans and Democrats to work together.

This kind of sentiment yielded results with Europe when the North-South fissure was temporarily put aside for greater unity, and perhaps investors thought the same political dynamic would occur in the US. House Democrats passed a $2.2 trillion stimulus package last week, but the bill has encountered friction from Republicans who fear that such a large stimulus would balloon the national debt even more.

Building Confidence in Trading
Building Confidence in Trading
Recommended by Dimitri Zabelin
Don’t give into despair, make a game plan
Get My Guide

Why the market reaction to the news of the breakdown in talks between congressional lawmakers has elicited such a strong reaction reflects how urgent stimulus is needed. The growth-stimulating provisions of the last package are fizzling out or have already expired, leaving the economy running on fumes as cases spike and the need to reimpose lockdowns grow. In this environment of uncertainty, the haven-linked USD may rise.

AUD/USD Price Analysis

Perhaps not entirely by coincidence, the fundamental backdrop perfectly fits into the technical narrative. AUD/USD has been hovering at the lower tier of a key inflection range between 0.7206 and 0.7181 and is now showing signs of capitulation. The pair experienced its biggest one-day drop since the selling bout in September and may now retest support at 0.7018.

AUD/USD - Daily Chart

USD May Rise After Trump Called for Post-Election Delay in Stimulus Talks

AUD/USD chart created using TradingView

--- Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or@ZabelinDimitrion Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES