We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • RT @next_china: U.S., China chief trade negotiators spoke by phone on Saturday, Xinhua reports https://t.co/dMQtd0g4jY
  • The $AUDUSD and $EURUSD downtrend may prolong as traders counterintuitively buy into their descent. Meanwhile, the USD/CAD uptrend may accelerate on rising net-short bets. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/dlzJ31kf3f https://t.co/xp8P9MmCgb
  • As we head into next week, Cable is continuing to digest the massive leg higher last month, which at some point soon could mean another surge. Get your $GBPUSD technical analysis from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/LJ42YhDe3X https://t.co/5hGwhGBpLB
  • Asia’s vast and growing importance to the world economy is not yet matched by the presence of a currency trading center to rival the established order. Get your update on market drivers in Asia from @DavidCottleFX here: https://t.co/E2hqoRdO7q https://t.co/urMnUCq4fn
  • RT @markets: White-hot pot stocks have flamed out in spectacular fashion https://t.co/3GsVsRyZaZ
  • What is the best time to trade #forex? Find out: https://t.co/M9R46r5ewa #tradingstyle https://t.co/gJ1QDrox67
  • #Gold prices may be given a tailwind from the FOMC minutes and escalating trade war risks if they fuel demand for anti-fiat assets amid expectations of additional Fed easing. Get your $XAUUSD market update from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/OJ7WUY9W7E $gld https://t.co/kBp3opzptm
  • Why should you set trading goals? How can it help regardless of what your #tradingstyle is? Find out: https://t.co/AYdD7ODlv1 https://t.co/G0ftVurNNN
  • Manning the penalty box today...i hope there aren't too many visitors https://t.co/1y81Li7laL
  • Do you think your #tradingstyle is of a #FOMO trader? Find out how you can turn that to #JOMO? Find out: https://t.co/79Q4pYdVEd https://t.co/S82AOd5AeP
GBPUSD Eyes Support on BoE Governor Mark Carney, AUDUSD May Rise

GBPUSD Eyes Support on BoE Governor Mark Carney, AUDUSD May Rise

2019-07-02 23:00:00
Daniel Dubrovsky, Analyst
Share:

Asia Pacific Market Open Talking Points

  • GBPUSD eyes downtrend resumption as BoE fuels rate cut bets
  • Anti-risk Japanese Yen outperforms against its major counterparts
  • IG Client sentiment offers a stronger AUDUSD-bullish trading bias

Not sure where the British Pound is going next? We just released the third quarter GBPUSD fundamental and technical forecast!

BoE’s Mark Carney Sinks the Pound

The British Pound was the worst-performing major on Tuesday, tumbling as Bank of England Governor Mark Carney spoke in Bournemouth. What caught the eye of investors was when he mentioned that global trade tensions increased downside risks. He also offered a rather disappointing outlook for second-quarter economic growth, seeing it as “considerably weaker”.

According to overnight index swaps, odds of a BoE rate cut by year-end shot up to nearly 50 percent from about 25 yesterday. While the central bank has been in favor of hiking rates, the threat of a “no-deal” Brexit is keeping them on hold for the time being. In fact, Mr Carney even mentioned that it is “unsurprising” that the markets are envisioning a lower interest rate.

GBPUSD Technical Analysis

This leaves GBPUSD once again aiming towards the January “flash crash” low in its downtrend since March. However, the pair has been oscillating between 1.2582 and 1.2798, with a false downside breakout through the former that left a low at 1.2506. A close under 1.2582 opens the door to testing 1.2506 before attempting to find lows last seen in 2017.

GBPUSD Daily Chart

GBPUSD Eyes Support on BoE Governor Mark Carney, AUDUSD May Rise

*Charts Created in TradingView

Meanwhile, the anti-risk Japanese Yen outperformed against its major counterparts. The decline in USDJPY picked up pace shortly after Mark Carney spoke as US government bond yields declined and anti-fiat gold prices rallied absent a clear catalyst. In fact, the precious metal experienced its best performance in a day since June 2016, climbing over 2.5 percent.

Wednesday’s Asia Pacific Trading Session

After yesterday’s RBA rate cut that left Australian Dollar bears disappointed, Aussie traders will be closely watching upcoming Caixin China PMI outcomes after official manufacturing surveys pointed to a contraction in the sector earlier this week. Data has been tending to underperform relative to expectations in the world’s second-largest economy and more of the same could sink AUDUSD.

However, IG Client Sentiment is currently offering a stronger AUDUSD-bullish contrarian trading bias given the unwinding in net-long positioning as traders pile into favoring shorts. To learn how you can use this tool in your trading, join me every week on Wednesday’s at 00:00 GMT for live sessions where I will also be taking a look at what it has to say about the prevailing trends in markets.

FX Trading Resources

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.