News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • CTV projects Trudeau wins his third term as Canada's Prime Minister - BBG
  • Do you know how to properly Identify a double top formation? Double tops can enhance technical analysis when trading both forex or stocks, making the pattern highly versatile in nature. Learn more about the double top formation here:
  • US House Speaker Pelosi says top-line spending number may change but hopes for $3.5 trillion in spending bill - BBG
  • RBA Minutes: - Board committed to providing high level of monetary support - Q3 GDP expected to decline materially - Central scenario is rates on hold until 2024 - BBG $AUDUSD
  • Heads Up:🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes due at 01:30 GMT (15min)
  • New Zealand reports 14 new local Covid cases - BBG
  • I had a chance to talk with @tastytradeRyan and @victorJ0NES about Evergrande and its impact on US markets — always great talking with these two guys on Mondays.
  • RT @cheddar: Stocks dropped the most since May on Monday, sending shockwaves through Wall Street. @CVecchioFX explains the global impact of…
  • The Spinning Top candlestick pattern forms part of the vast Japanese candlestick repertoire with its own distinct features. Gain a better understanding of the spinning top candlestick here:
  • There are three major forex trading sessions which comprise the 24-hour market: the London session, the US session and the Asian session. Learn about the characteristics of each session here:
Yen May Sink as US-China Restart Trade Talks, Can Crude Oil Rise?

Yen May Sink as US-China Restart Trade Talks, Can Crude Oil Rise?

Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist

Asia Pacific Market Open Talking Points

Not sure where the Japanese Yen is going next? We just released the third quarter JPY fundamental and technical forecast!

Yen May Weaken as the US, China Agree to Restart Trade Talks From G20 Summits

The anti-risk Japanese Yen may weaken at the beginning of the new week as markets digest a US-China trade truce. From this weekend’s G20 Summit, US President Donald Trump withheld raising roughly an additional $300b in Chinese import tariffs. From here, the US and China will restart trade talks as Mr Trump said that the latter nation will purchase additional agricultural goods from the former.

While equities such as the Nikkei 225 may rally at open, it is unclear if there is enough fundamental support for follow-through. For one thing, the current 25% tariff rate on roughly $250b Chinese goods exported to the US still remains and anticipation of a trade truce helped stocks rally this past week to an extent. Then, it remains to be seen if this can pour cold water on aggressive Fed rate cut bets. That may sink sentiment.

Crude Oil Sunk as EU Launched INSTEX

Such anticipation in the lead-up to this weekend’s G20 Summit left the US Dollar ignoring the latest gauge of the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation (core PCE), which clocked in at 1.6% y/y in May versus 1.5% expected. The Canadian Dollar also paid not much attention to softer than expected local GDP data where growth printed 1.5% y/y versus 1.6% anticipated.

The same could not be said for crude oil when the European Union launched INSTEX, the mechanism “aimed at facilitating legitimate business with Iran”. It serves as a way for Iran to sidestep sanctions the US imposed on them. Oil sunk on the announcement as this cooled supply disruption concerns. But, this may come back to haunt the EU and local markets if US President Donald Trump retaliates.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Focusing on technical analysis, crude oil prices turned lower on Friday after the falling trend line from April tamed its uptrend as anticipated. The rise to the trend line was initiated by an upside breakout through the falling resistance line from May (red line below). If near-term support holds, keep an eye on resistance at 60.26 just above the trend line. Confirming a close above it paves the way for uptrend extension.

Crude Oil Daily Chart

Yen May Sink as US-China Restart Trade Talks, Can Crude Oil Rise?

*Charts Created in TradingView

FX Trading Resources

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Currency Analyst for

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.