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  • Equities have managed to start the new month on the front foot as bond yields are taking a breather from their rapid surge over the last few weeks. DAX 30 bulls aim towards the 14,000 mark. Get your #DAX market update from @HathornSabin here:https://t.co/E7CYIM0KQC https://t.co/bnFyQfXLP6
  • ECB President Lagarde: - Pandemic is still heavily weighing on European economies - ECB will do its job to ensure firms and families can access finances needed to weather the storm - They can do so with confidence that financing conditions will not tighten prematurely #ECB $EUR
  • Heads Up:💶 ECB President Lagarde Speech due at 16:10 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-01
  • Forex Update: As of 15:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.92% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.66% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.62% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.04% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.25% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.65% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/hg9Ce9xspE
  • The FTSE 100 has not been an easy handle lately, a theme that is often the case with this index and its choppy price action. Get your #FTSE market update from @PaulRobinsonFX here:https://t.co/QcIFpL232J https://t.co/nisYpjAFbJ
  • 🇲🇽 Markit Manufacturing PMI (FEB) Actual: 44.2 Previous: 43 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-01
  • In line with comments from Stournaras last week - ECB should accelerate PEPP purchases - No fundamental justification for a tightening of bond yields at long end - GC Should instruct board at March 11 meeting to fight unwarranted tightening of financing conditions
  • The Dollar is really trying again to spark a meaningful reversal yet again, but the market seems to have hardened its skepticism. I'll be watching this $EURUSD support (100SMA and trendline) closely these next 48 hours https://t.co/D1A5gthGdP
  • Heads Up:🇲🇽 Markit Manufacturing PMI (FEB) due at 15:30 GMT (15min) Previous: 43 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-03-01
  • Commodities Update: As of 15:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.87% Oil - US Crude: 0.72% Gold: 0.29% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/I1pwjTdlEU
Bank Research Consensus Weekly 05.14.12

Bank Research Consensus Weekly 05.14.12

David Song, Strategist
Bank_Research_Consensus_Weekly_05.14.12_body_BankResearch.png, Bank Research Consensus Weekly 05.14.12

US Economics: Why Worry about the Overhang of Debt?

Global Economic Team, Morgan Stanley

Across advanced economies, governments are struggling with a long-lasting consequence of the recent financial crisis-high public debt loads. Some commentators downplay the scope of the problem for the US. After all, the yield on ten-year Treasury notes is around 1-7/8 percent. If investors do not seem worried about buying government debt, why are some politicians worried about issuing more of it?

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FX: Area - EUR/USD Still Very Resilient

Arne Lohmann Rasmussen, Chief Analyst, Danske Bank

In the past week we have seen financial stress rising on the back of increased concerns about Greece. However, the FX market has been surprisingly calm. The JP Morgan G7 volatility index (based on option volatility) is still trading close to the lowest level since 2008. In particular, the lack of volatility in EUR/USD has surprised many market participants. EUR/USD has been remarkably stable in a 1.29-1.33 range and realised 1M volatility is trading at its lowest level since January 2008. The stable EUR/USD has puzzled a lot of our clients and one of the most common questions of the past month has been why the euro is not any weaker.

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Moderato: Ma Non Troppo

John E. Silvia, Chief Economist, Wells Fargo

Our outlook for moderate growth and PCE deflator measured inflation suggests the FOMC will maintain their current interest rate policy, keeping the Funds rate range from 0 to 25 bps. However, we expect that Operation Twist will not be renewed, which would create a slight upward move in longer-term Treasury rates.

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U.S. – European Austerity: Was It Just A Fling?

Michael Dolega, Economist,TD Bank Financial Group

Once again all eyes were on Europe this week following the results of the French and Greek weekend elections, which appear to have rejected the idea of austerity as the key to Europe’s salvation. Hollande’s win in France marks the shift in sentiment to an agenda of growth. Meanwhile in Greece, a fragmented election result left the pro-bailout coalition rivals-turned-partners two seats shy of majority in the 300-seat chamber. With a divided electorate and no one party able to yet form a government, it is very likely that new elections will have to be called by the end of June. If the stalemate persists, the country risks the termination of its current bailout program with the EU/IMF, which could, in turn, precipitate its exit from the euro zone.

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Compiled by David Song, Currency Analyst

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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