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  • Italian PM Conte won support for his government in the Chamber of Deputies 321 to 259. He will face a more difficult vote in the Senate tomorrow
  • Forex Update: As of 21:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.17% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.05% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.01% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.18% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.26% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.30% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/L7qJIoIuXY
  • 🇳🇿 Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM (DEC) Actual: 19.2% Previous: 0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-18
  • President-Elect Joe Biden's Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen (former Fed Chairwoman) is due to before the Senate Finance Committee tomorrow at 15:00 GMT (or 10:00 EST)
  • 🇳🇿 Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY (DEC) Actual: 3.5% Previous: 1.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-18
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  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 100.00%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 67.03%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/wmO5VkczyC
  • Heads Up:🇳🇿 Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM (DEC) due at 21:45 GMT (15min) Previous: 0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-18
  • Heads Up:🇳🇿 Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY (DEC) due at 21:45 GMT (15min) Previous: 1.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-18
  • Greed is a natural human emotion that affects individuals to varying degrees. Unfortunately, when viewed in the context of trading, greed has proven to be a hindrance more often than it has assisted traders. Learn how to control greed in trading here: https://t.co/kODPAfJE79 https://t.co/eqBimjEp0E
Bank Research Consensus Weekly 04.23.12

Bank Research Consensus Weekly 04.23.12

David Song, Strategist
Bank_Research_Consensus_Weekly_04.23.12_body_BankResearch.png, Bank Research Consensus Weekly 04.23.12

A Different Place

Spyros Andrepoulos, Joachim Fels & Manoj Pradhan, Morgan Stanley

In this first issue of our new bi-weekly Global Macro Analyst, which replaces the weekly Global Monetary Analyst, we lay out our big-picture view of the global economic and policy environment. Our key theme has been and continues to be that even four years after the bursting of one of the biggest credit bubbles in history, the world remains a very different place from the one we knew before 2008. As we see it, the current macro environment is dominated by three major developments:

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FX: BoJ and BoE Moving in Opposite Directions

Arne Lohmann Rasmussen, Chief Analyst, Danske Bank

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has this year embarked on a significantly more aggressive monetary policy to weaken the yen and, on top of different QE measures, has introduced an inflation target of 1.0%. We believe that the BoJ will step-up its easing policy and announce further QE at this week’s policy meeting. See ‘Market movers’ for details.

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Rates Dip on Weaker Reports

John E. Silvia, Chief Economist, Wells Fargo

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell below 2.00 percent this week, as most domestic economic reports came in below expectations and news out of Europe remained mostly negative. Slower growth is restraining industrial commodity prices, helping soothe inflation fears whipped up by quantitative easing in the United States and Europe. The limited effects of QE are now beginning to exert a new influence; what do monetary policymakers do once QE loses its punch?

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Canada – Bank of Canada to Hike Rates Before Year-End

Dina Cover, Economist,TD Bank Financial Group It appears as though the ‘lower for longer’ mantra may be replaced by ‘sooner than later’ in Canada. Indeed, this week the Bank of Canada changed its language, likely paving the way for higher interest rates this year. While the central bank held the overnight rate steady at 1.00% on Tuesday, the accompanying communiqué and Monetary Policy Report released the following day noted that “some modest withdrawal of the present considerable monetary policy stimulus may become appropriate”.

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Compiled by David Song, Currency Analyst

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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