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What Will Nonfarm Payrolls Bring? Some Charts for Thought

What Will Nonfarm Payrolls Bring? Some Charts for Thought

Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist

We’ve compiled various charts for today’s US Nonfarm Payrolls announcement – the results might surprise you.

Below you will find the historical relationship of the ADP Employment Change report and the Nonfarm Payrolls report; how the EURUSD has fared in response to the previous Nonfarm Payroll reports; and intraday EURUSD price action following the release of the May and June labor market figures.

What_Will_Nonfarm_Payrolls_Bring_Some_Charts_for_Thought_body_Chart_1.png, What Will Nonfarm Payrolls Bring? Some Charts for Thought

Source: Bloomberg – Prepared by Christopher Vecchio

Two-year Correlation (ADP versus NFPs): +0.69

Six-Month Correlation: +0.73

WHISPER PRINT: +115-125K (forecast calls for +100K)

What_Will_Nonfarm_Payrolls_Bring_Some_Charts_for_Thought_body_Chart_2.png, What Will Nonfarm Payrolls Bring? Some Charts for Thought

Source: Bloomberg – Prepared by John Kicklighter

What_Will_Nonfarm_Payrolls_Bring_Some_Charts_for_Thought_body_Chart_3.png, What Will Nonfarm Payrolls Bring? Some Charts for Thought

Source: Bloomberg – Prepared by John Kicklighter

What_Will_Nonfarm_Payrolls_Bring_Some_Charts_for_Thought_body_Chart_4.png, What Will Nonfarm Payrolls Bring? Some Charts for Thought

Source: Bloomberg – Prepared by John Kicklighter

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Analyst

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

To be added to Christopher’s e-mail distribution list, send an e-mail with subject line "Distribution List" to cvecchio@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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