News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 ADP Employment Change (JUL) due at 12:15 GMT (15min) Expected: 695K Previous: 692K
  • Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilizing differing forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Learn about the top three technical analysis tools here:
  • 🇺🇸 MBA Mortgage Applications (30/JUL) Actual: -1.7% Previous: 5.7%
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.77%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 78.86%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 MBA Mortgage Applications (30/JUL) due at 11:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 5.7%
  • The ISM manufacturing index plays an important role in forex trading, with ISM data influencing currency prices globally. Learn about the importance of the ISM manufacturing index here:
  • Commodities Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.65% Gold: 0.18% Oil - US Crude: -0.60% View the performance of all markets via
  • Forex Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.84% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.30% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.17% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.04% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.07% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.13% View the performance of all markets via
  • US Dollar at the Mercy of Economic Data, ADP Jobs Report in View - #Dollar #ADP #Fed #EURUSD
  • Indices Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: 0.78% France 40: 0.52% FTSE 100: 0.34% US 500: -0.08% Wall Street: -0.12% View the performance of all markets via
Yen, Euro and Franc Climb on Crude Oil Price Crash, China Data

Yen, Euro and Franc Climb on Crude Oil Price Crash, China Data

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC


  • Yen leads Euro, Franc higher as sweeping liquidation strikes markets
  • China posts dismal trade data, OPEC+ crude oil output cuts unravel
  • S&P 500 futures trade limit-down, Treasury yields probe record lows

The Japanese Yen outperformed while financial markets swooned as crude oil prices crashed after OPEC and Russia failed to reach a deal prolonging their output cap scheme. The cartel and a group of like-minded producers – dubbed “OPEC+” – have been coordinating to hold back capacity, restrict supply and boost prices since 2016. Riyadh wanted to keep going as the coronavirus threatens demand. Moscow did not.

Abysmal trade data from China has compounded the dour mood. The world’s second-largest economy posted the largest trade deficit in 16 years in February. Exports fell 17.2 percent on-year, marking the biggest drop in four years. The decline in imports was more modest at 4 percent. Nevertheless, this marked the 14th consecutive month of contraction, which bodes ill for countries reliant on Chinese demand.

Currencies attached to central banks that have relatively little scope to lower borrowing costs followed the Yen higher. The Swiss Franc and Euro – where the SNB and ECB have already brought policy rates into negative territory – outpaced gains in the British Pound, where there remains room for 75 basis points in cuts. Alternatives with greater room for easing – AUD and NZD – declined. The frequently oil-linked Canadian Dollar proved weakest of the pack however.

Crude oil prices plunging with stocks as Yen, gold and Treasury bonds rise

Chart created with TradingView

The US Dollar put in a mixed performance, rallying against cycle-sensitive and positively-yielding currencies while falling against the anti-risk side of the spectrum. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates again later this month after a surprise 50bp reduction last week amid market turmoil, narrowing USD’s yield advantage against the likes of the EUR and JPY. Its liquidity haven appeal is countervailing force however.

Gold prices rose as safety-seeking capital flows sent US Treasury bonds higher, pulling down yields. That burnished the appeal of non-interest-bearing alternatives epitomized by the yellow metal. The return on the benchmark 10-year note probed below 0.5 percent while the cost of 30-year borrowing ticked below 1 percentfor the first time on record.

S&P 500 futures, Nikkei 225 and ASX 200 stock indexes sink

Chart created with TradingView

Stocks plunged in Asia-Pacific trade, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 suffering steep losses. Looking ahead, a steep drop in futures tracking the bellwether S&P 500 index plummeted to trade limit-down, activating a cap on losses at 5 percent. That appears to set the stage for continued liquidation in the hours ahead.


--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.