News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
More View more
Real Time News
  • US House Speaker Pelosi says will soon be ready to put pen to paper on stimulus bill
  • 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims (17/OCT) Actual: 787K Expected: 860K Previous: 898K
  • 🇺🇸 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (17/OCT) Actual: 811.25K Previous: 866.25K
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.61%, while traders in EUR/USD are at opposite extremes with 74.90%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • Technical indicators are chart analysis tools that can help traders better understand and act on price movement. Learn more about the importance of technical analysis here:
  • Forex Update: As of 12:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.16% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.07% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.14% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.21% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.33% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.41% View the performance of all markets via
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims (17/OCT) due at 12:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 860K Previous: 898K
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 Continuing Jobless Claims (10/OCT) due at 12:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 9500K Previous: 10018K
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (17/OCT) due at 12:30 GMT (15min) Previous: 866.25K
  • USD hegemony is at risk thanks to changes in the global economy and the long-term consequences of the US-China trade war. Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here:
Palladium Vastly Outperformed Gold Prices in 2019. Is it Topping?

Palladium Vastly Outperformed Gold Prices in 2019. Is it Topping?

2019-10-24 04:00:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC


  • Palladium prices have tracked strong growth in vehicle exports from China
  • Slowing global growth, festering trade war may undermine demand outlook
  • Technical positioning warns of ebbing momentum that may precede topping

Where will markets end 2019? See our Q4 forecasts for currencies, commodities and stock indexes!

Gold prices tend to command a disproportionate share of the headline space, but it is palladium that has vastly outperformed this year among the precious metals. It is up over 38 percent so far in 2019, a figure more than double that of either gold, silver or platinum.

Physical demand looks to have been a driver of gains for some time. The metal is a key input for the making of catalytic converters used in autos to reduce emissions. Its rise over the past decade has played out alongside vehicle exports from China. They now rank fifth among the country’s top commodities sold abroad.

Palladium price versus China total vehicle exports (5-mo average)

Interestingly, this has continued even as domestic auto sales in China began to slow in the second half of 2016 and started outright shrinking in mid-2018. If external demand were to similarly flounder – amid a global slowdown amplified by a festering US-China trade war, say – palladium may turn lower.

Turning to technical positioning, some very early warning signs might be emerging. Prices pulled back to challenge trend support defining the move upward since early August, with early signs of negative RSI divergence warning that ebbing upside momentum might translate into reversal.

Confirmation of an initial breakdown on a daily close below the 1700.00 figure opens the door to challenge resistance-turned-support in the 1604.50-15.50 area. Pushing further below that might set the stage to challenge a longer-term barrier guiding the advance since August 2018.

Palladium price chart - daily

Palladium price chart crated with TradingView


--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.