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S&P 500, FTSE 100 Outlook: Trade War Deadline, Brexit Vote, Fed Powell Testimony in Focus

S&P 500, FTSE 100 Outlook: Trade War Deadline, Brexit Vote, Fed Powell Testimony in Focus

Justin McQueen, Analyst

Equity Analysis and News

  • S&P 500 | Eyes on FOMC, NFP and Apple Earnings
  • DAX | Firm Chinese Data Needed to Push DAX Higher

Source: Thomson Reuters, DailyFX

S&P 500 | Eyes on FOMC, NFP and Apple Earnings

The S&P 500 continues to march higher with the index adding another 0.7% for the week. The index remains within its uptrend, which in turn saw the S&P move within touching distance from its all-time peak, although, failure to print fresh highs saw the index pullback slightly. Interestingly the risk barometer, which consists of a spread between cyclicals and defensive stocks (XLI vs XLU ETF) has edged lower, which in turn raises the risk of a near-term pullback in the index. Focus next week will be on the Federal Reserve rate decision with questions asked over their take on the Q1 GDP data. Alongside this, eyes will be on the latest US jobs report, while earnings season will see Apple report.

S&P 500 vs Risk Barometer

DAX | Firm Chinese Data Needed to Push DAX Higher

While the macro outlook for the Eurozone remains fragile, the DAX continues to go on from strength to strength, with the index outperforming its European counterparts. Among the supportive factors behind this, has been the drop in the Euro to near 2yr lows, consequently, helping German exporters. With many investors looking for a potential recovery in the Eurozone outlook eyes will be on the Eurozone GDP report, while an upside surprise in the Chinese Manufacturing PMI could be enough to push the DAX to better levels.

DAX Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (Dec 2017-Apr 2019)

DAX Price


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--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

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Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

Other Weekly Fundamental Forecast:

Australian Dollar Forecast: Battered Australian Dollar Could Face Yet More Disappointing Data

Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Price Declines May Accelerate on Fed, Soft US Econ Data

Gold Forecast: A Week Packed Full of Major Risk Events and Data

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.