News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • $AUDNZD closed at its lowest since December 2020 Prices pierced the 1.0541 - 1.0564 support zone, exposing the November low at 1.0418 A confirmatory downside close under support next week may open the door to further losses #AUD #RBA https://t.co/mybbgPHNX4
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out https://t.co/c51s3IBcEu https://t.co/k49UosZOUR
  • The US Dollar seems to be losing its momentum against ASEAN currencies as of late. Could this be another top in USD/SGD, USD/THB, USD/PHP and USD/IDR? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/rVBKBuhhAb https://t.co/lTT6oelIEc
  • Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilizing differing forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Learn about the top three technical analysis tools here: https://t.co/KDjIjLdTSk https://t.co/JTw3w7KYXP
  • Forex Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇭CHF: 0.10% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.15% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.18% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.39% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.56% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.69% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/a8XYJHybtN
  • Commodities Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: -0.05% Oil - US Crude: -0.25% Gold: -0.77% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/C66zBofenc
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.72%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 71.64%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/6QmJTzlrho
  • Entry orders are a valuable tool in forex trading. Traders can strategize to come up with a great trading plan, but if they can’t execute that plan effectively, all their hard work might as well be thrown out. Learn how to place entry orders here: https://t.co/1mnOXUuBpt https://t.co/8PhqKCpyzf
  • Indices Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: 0.03% France 40: 0.03% US 500: 0.02% FTSE 100: -0.06% Germany 30: -0.09% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/Mkxtacawl4
  • AUD declined into the weekend, wiping out earlier gains against USD #IronOre tumbled this week, with futures on #SGX down about 15%! -> 3-month low China is further cracking down on steel output to ebb pollution Iron ore is a key AU export to China, posing a risk #AUD $AUDUSD https://t.co/NSDM7Ln5sA
Gold Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Price Likely to Continue 2018 Downtrend

Gold Q1 Fundamental Forecast: Price Likely to Continue 2018 Downtrend

Dimitri Zabelin, Analyst

Gold is likely to continue its broad downtrend we saw in 2018 into the first quarter of 2019. At the end of the year, there were times in October and November when Gold rallied amid rapid selloffs in equities; however, these were only minor recoveries. Behind the selloff has largely been a hawkish Fed that raised rates four times, with the most recent 25-bps hike on December 19.

Rising Rates Pose Risk to Gold

At its final policy meeting of 2018, the Fed has also made it clear that it will continue with rate hikes unless major economic indicators signal a slowdown in growth or a notable decline in inflation. Fed Chair Jerome Powell wants to take advantage of the US’s economic momentum after a decade of anemic growth to raise interest rates back to the neutral level.

Accordingly, the US Dollar may gain in this environment with potential limited downside movement; a dovish Fed is already priced-in from this perspective. However, if the Fed follows through and raises rates, financial market participants will be taken by surprise and investors will possibly flock to the greenback. Rising rates, in turn, would be bad for Gold.

See the complete Q1'19 Gold forecast as well as forecasts for major currencies, equities, and Oil.

--- Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Junior Currency Analyst

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES