We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • #Dow Jones stages impressive recovery on a firm NFP report. #FTSE 100 eyes UK general election. Get your equities technical analysis from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/o28UcG6N3l https://t.co/SwGAaFCFND
  • Why do you require consistency in trading and why does it matter? Find out: https://t.co/f4y1FOOZnM #tradingstyle https://t.co/x5HgYopWc5
  • The USD may rise if the FOMC re-affirms its data-dependent approach and cools 2020 rate cut bets. US retail sales and CPI data may also give the Fed impetus to hold rates. Get your $USD market update from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/XnDITaDOox https://t.co/A480uVMqF2
  • What tools does the ECB have left to stimulate the Eurozone? Where is the #Euro heading? Find out from Chief Eurozone Economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics Claus Vistesen only on Trading Global Markets Decoded #podcast hosted by @MartinSEssex here:https://t.co/Twr44cZ1GB https://t.co/DXlDH5Cp9e
  • The price of oil extends the advance from the October low as #OPEC and its allies pledge to take additional steps to balance the energy market. Get your crude #oil market update from @DavidJSong here: https://t.co/llGq8yPFH4 #OOTT https://t.co/1OCVOIrK98
  • Gold closed lower after paring early-week gains post-NFP on Friday. But will price finally break support? These are levels that matter on the XAU/USD weekly chart. Get your gold technical analysis from @MBForex here: https://t.co/ovGheRg4MQ https://t.co/ZEQSYktj0w
  • What is your #tradingstyle? Take the quiz and let us know: https://t.co/LPBOcS0Vtd https://t.co/l6FvtcADEH
  • Asia’s vast and growing importance to the world economy is not yet matched by the presence of a currency trading center to rival the established order. Get your update on market drivers in Asia from @DavidCottleFX here: https://t.co/E2hqoRdO7q https://t.co/dnrAMFK4U2
  • Geopolitical developments send #oil prices soaring or falling. Get your market update from @MartinSEssex here:https://t.co/XVXLyG8vjq #OOTT https://t.co/RMk5Eb5fLU
  • Negative yielding government bonds – What are they telling us? Find out from @nickcawley1 here: https://t.co/F6JuhmrvPT https://t.co/KdpSjQSJ8F
Oil Q4 Forecast: Global Oil Demand in Question as OPEC Output Falters and US Shale Booms

Oil Q4 Forecast: Global Oil Demand in Question as OPEC Output Falters and US Shale Booms

2018-09-29 14:00:00
Tyler Yell, CMT, Peter Hanks,
Share:

The outlook for global growth has been called into question in recent months as emerging markets bow under external pressures and developed economies engage in trade wars. On top of its already-enacted $250 billion tab, the US is weighing a further $267 billion in tariffs on China. The Trump administration has also suggested it may set its sights on Japan. Similarly, NAFTA remains unresolved despite a bilateral deal between the United States and Mexico as a deadline looms. With such a comprehensive curb on economic expansion, the outlook for crude demand is concerning – and thereby so too is the commodity’s price.

Crude Oil Price Chart: Weekly Timeframe (October 2007 to September 2018) (Chart 1)

Oil Q4 Forecast: Global Oil Demand in Question as OPEC Output Falters and US Shale Booms

$71 on WTI seems to be a point of contention for the fourth quarter. Though there may not be a definitive level, the WTI’s push above $70 seems to raise the threat concerns from Donald Trump, in turn leading the President to bark at OPEC via Twitter to “get prices down now!”One thing that would “get prices down now!” would be a significantly stronger US Dollar, which tends to have global deflationary forces, and is often first seen through lower commodities and a higher USD/CNH. US producers continue to add rigs though per Baker Hughes, the number of active oil rigs has only recovered 40% of the 2014 high of 1,592 to the 2016 low of 330.

See the complete Q4’18 Oil forecast as well as forecasts for the other major currencies, equities, and Gold.

--- Written by Tyler Yell, CMT, Analyst and Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.