News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • As we round our way towards a new week, Cable is within the confines of a bullish structure with beginnings back in September. Get your #currencies update from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/NIbRTVmjqq https://t.co/zYma4Iq4dP
  • Myth or fact? One thing is for sure, there are a lot of misconceptions about trading. Knowing the difference between common trading myths and the reality is essential to long-term success. Find out about these 'myths' here: https://t.co/UGhbX6kn3H https://t.co/NE2RB1NT55
  • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) was founded in 1913 by the United States Congress. The Fed’s actions and policies have a major impact on currency value, affecting many trades involving the US Dollar. Learn more about the Fed here: https://t.co/ADSC4sIHrP https://t.co/MVwUUltt6R
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here: https://t.co/38gTDn8ejP https://t.co/XnQzHlFsAv
  • Have you been catching on your @DailyFX podcast "Global Markets Decoded"? Catch up on them now, before new episodes release! https://t.co/Twr44cZ1GB https://t.co/FuLPdCLpKs
  • Elections anticipation may sabotage trend development next week, but that won't curb volatility between stimulus talks, Covid cases, FAANG earnings and 3Q GDP updates. Top of my watch list this week will be $EURUSD. My video on it all: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/10/24/EURUSD-a-Top-Volatility-Risk-This-Week-but-Election-Anxiety-May-Keep-Markets-From-Trends.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/t14eT2SMa7
  • An economic calendar is a resource that allows traders to learn about important economic information scheduled to be released. Stay up to date on the most important global economic data here: https://t.co/JdvW6HNuqV https://t.co/RfUWJdNjzk
  • Brush up your knowledge on trade-wars with this tool from DailyFX research briefly outlining trade-war history dating back to the early 1900s here: https://t.co/ZWaL6laTU5 https://t.co/EzdjTZEbx2
  • The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and AUD/USD could be at risk of extending losses as retail investors increase upside exposure. What are key technical levels to watch for? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/ivQmFUTGdU https://t.co/KuIoM7g9E3
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here: https://t.co/38gTDn8ejP https://t.co/FBT1eSZdjF
S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook: FOMC in the Spotlight Next Week

S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook: FOMC in the Spotlight Next Week

2018-09-23 14:00:00
Paul Robinson, Strategist
Share:
Please add a description for the image.

Equity Market Talking Points:

  • FOMC on Wednesday; S&P 500 continues bullish trend
  • German jobs, inflation data; DAX rebound faces resistance
  • ‘Brexit’ headlines in focus, data light; FTSE trying to run higher

For forecasts, trade ideas, and educational guides, check out the DailyFX Trading Guides.

S&P 500

The coming week is highlighted by the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday, but with the market expecting rates to rise another 25 bps the market’s attention will be on Fed Chair Powell’s press conference. Volatility surrounding these meetings has been limited with little in the way of action or words to rock the boat. Look for more of the same, however, as per usual expect the unexpected. ‘High’ impact data events for the week include Consumer Confidence on Tuesday; Trade Balance, GDP, Core PCE (QoQ), and Durable goods on Thursday, and finally Core PCE (YoY) on Friday. See the economic calendar for further details.

The trend is pretty clearly up and with the market hanging out in record territory, regardless of one might think of the market fundamentally, none of that will matter until we see price roll over and start taking out support levels. As long as all stays intact, so does a bullish bias towards new highs.

S&P 500 Daily Chart

S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook: FOMC in the Spotlight Next Week

DAX

Next week’s calendar is highlighted, in addition to the FOMC in the U.S., German CPI on Thursday along with German unemployment figures and Euro-zone CPI on Friday. For details, check out the economic calendar. Should we see a sizable move in U.S. markets on Wednesday’s Fed meeting look for a gap of some sort to possibly start Thursday’s trade.

The DAX has been recovering with the help of general risk appetite staying firm. Recapturing the 12104 level has gone a long way towards helping make a case for higher prices. However, now there is the bottom of the Feb 2016 trend-line and another running lower not far ahead to contend with. This is an important test as the trend still remains pointed lower.

Check out this guide for 4 ideas on how to Build Confidence in Trading.

DAX Daily Chart

S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook: FOMC in the Spotlight Next Week

FTSE

Brexit headlines will remain a source of volatility for the foreseeable future, as we saw again to end the week when talks between the EU and UK went south. The FTSE was limping along until Friday when news drove the currency-sensitive index higher on severe British pound weakness. In terms of the calendar for next week, it is relatively light for the U.K., but just as the case is with the DAX keep an eye on how the U.S. plays out on Wednesday.

The market may continue to trade higher, but conviction on the top-side is still lacking as larger forces from a long-term topping pattern continue to remain a broader negative. To start next week, the FTSE will contend with the August 15 low and 200-day MA. Another round of selling may not come in initially as the market tries to build on Friday’s momentum first.

FTSE Daily Chart

S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook: FOMC in the Spotlight Next Week

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

Other Weekly Fundamental Forecast:

New Zealand Dollar Forecast - Fed, RBNZ Risk Derailing Remarkable New Zealand Dollar Recovery

Japanese Yen Forecast - JPY Bears Eye 113 Level

Oil Forecast – Oil Firms Ahead of Algiers OPEC Meeting That May Set Stage for Q4

British Pound Forecast – Bullish Sentiment Erased by Brexit Impasse

US dollar Forecast – US Dollar May Resume Rising Trend After FOMC Rate Decision

Gold Forecast - Gold Price Headed for a Break, may Turn Lower on Sour Sentiment

Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar Gains May Be Stymied By Fed Meet, Aftermath

Chinese Yuan Forecast – CNH, HKD Prepared for FOMC with PBOC's Bills, Pending on Escalated Trade War

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES