News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • There are three major forex trading sessions which comprise the 24-hour market: the London session, the US session and the Asian session. Learn about the characteristics of each session here: https://t.co/UVvf51HiVP https://t.co/4wlRjBTCzK
  • The #Dollar has bottoming potential, but that is starting to lose weight as it fails to sustain any lift; next week could be a big one for #USD’s near-term outlook. Get your #currencies update from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/IifHjik7gM https://t.co/R9b4jdTPnO
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind #FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here:https://t.co/eILWbFgHRE https://t.co/lW1rqjpy0x
  • I’d like to thank my followers, I just reached 5,000 which is quite a milestone for someone that isn’t a huge fan of the platform. Thank you all very much ❤️
  • Technology stocks continue to be a source of weakness for US equities, undermining risk appetite. Meanwhile, US-China tensions simmer beneath the surface creating uncertainty. Get your #equities update from @PeterHanksFX here: https://t.co/yH8oTwT3iW https://t.co/tvfrXThyaC
  • There are many different types of forex orders, which traders use to manage their trades. While these may vary between different brokers, there tends to be several basic FX order types all brokers accept. Learn about different FX order types here: https://t.co/lIJdiz4xSz https://t.co/Xi9QU3ADPF
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out: https://t.co/td5WA4hCZC https://t.co/cQwbeZ6Feq
  • #Oil prices saw a reprieve to the recent selling pressure but remain at risk while below downtrend resistance. Here are the levels that matter on the #WTI technical chart. Get your #commodities update from @MBForex here: https://t.co/CcXsF3JCMH https://t.co/RUmS1cX52v
  • Forex liquidity makes it easy for traders to sell and buy currencies without delay, and also creates tight spreads for favorable quotes. Low costs and large scope to various markets make it the most frequently traded market in the world. Learn more here: https://t.co/5uSWKoLkd6 https://t.co/boEI8RuQdC
  • The growth-linked New Zealand Dollar may rise on the upcoming #RBNZ rate decision following rosy economic data. However, downside potential in the S&P 500 could offset $NZDUSD gains. Get your #currencies update from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/LfCe6C6G3P https://t.co/kUeBxxeaEf
Gold and Silver Prices Attempt to Press Higher after NFP Miss

Gold and Silver Prices Attempt to Press Higher after NFP Miss

2014-02-10 20:05:00
Research, Research Team
Share:

Key Takeaways:

  • The US labor market not as strong as analysts expected.
  • Gold and Silver prices are holding range support and turning higher.
  • There is a lot of time for speculation over QE3 until the next Fed meeting.

After several days of choppy prices, precious metals’ prices have started to drift higher. Gold and Silver prices are back at the topside of recent ranges – periods of consolidation in price since the middle of January. Precious metals have been a good indicator of broader market sentiment: price has been rather directionless as traders and investors grapple with the near term slowdown in US economic data versus the longer term impact of the Federal Reserve tapering QE3.

The data at the end of the first week of February did not meet the market standard that would lead a trader to step up their speculation of the QE3 tapering. The weak US jobs report showed that the labor market added only 113,000 jobs, far beneath the 187,000 that many analysts forecasted. In recent history, precious metals have needed weak US economic data in order to rally, and this proved to be true once more on Friday. After several days of consolidation in price (going back to the middle of January), Gold and Silver may have found the fundamental boost they have needed to escape their ranges.

Gold Price Daily Chart (XAU/USD)

gold-silver-prices-press-higher-nfp-0006_body_Image10.jpg, Gold and Silver Prices Attempt to Press Higher after NFP Miss

Gold price has turned away from $1275 on several occasions this past week, but early signs may be pointing to an eventual breakout higher. The closing high in 2014 is $1269.89, and therefore should be considered an important level of “closing resistance.” While highs and lows are important reference points, experts often point to closing prices as being more important as they are the final agreed upon price for the day – the market equilibrium at that time. A close above $1269.89 would suggest that traders have reevaluated their bearishness towards the price of Gold earlier in the year. Thus, there are two ranges here in Gold to watch.

The first is the “closing range,” which when rounded, sees a tunneling of price between $1236 and $1270 (these are not the exact closing highs and lows but rather the closest round figure for simplicity). When price closes beyond either side of these barriers, it would give evidence for a more significant breakout in that direction. We see that price is testing the topside of the recent range, which puts our initial bias in favor of Gold to rally. A daily close above $1270 would suggest that the absolute highs above $1275 are due to be tested. After NFPs, we see that traders might have less of reason to be optimistic about the US labor market today, which could serve as the catalyst for a breakout. The Slow Stochastic indicator (SSI) remains bullish after its “buy” signal on February 4th.

Silver Prices Daily Chart (XAG/USD)

gold-silver-prices-press-higher-nfp-0006_body_Image11.jpg, Gold and Silver Prices Attempt to Press Higher after NFP Miss

When we look at Silver prices we see that they may be leading Gold. Silver prices broke lower at the end of January and Gold inched lower towards the bottom of its recent range near $1230. The rebound in Silver from the lows near $18.880 coincided with the rally in Gold as well. Now, both precious metals are on the verge of breaking higher. If Gold is to break and close above $1275, the price of Silver will likely have to settle above $19.850. So far so good, with Silver prices closing on Friday at $20.001.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES