News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 100.00%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 71.30%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/EnXWWQT0l2
  • Bank of Japan: -ETF and J-REIT purchases will be near 12 trillion yen and 180 billion yen, respectively -10-year JGB yield target will stay near zero through necessary purchases of JGBs - QQE w/yield curve control will continue with aim of 2% price stability target $USDJPY
  • Bank of Japan: - 10-Year JGB yield target remains at near 0% - BOJ will purchases ETFs and J-REITs to where outstanding amounts will rise near 6 trillion yen and near 90 billion yen, respectively $USDJPY
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 BoJ Quarterly Outlook Report due at 03:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-21
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 BoJ Interest Rate Decision due at 03:00 GMT (15min) Expected: -0.1% Previous: -0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-21
  • While the US Dollar has been holding its ground, its downside bias against the Singapore Dollar, New Taiwan Dollar Thai Baht and Indonesian Rupiah remains intact as it hovers at support. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/p7gAztWuVG https://t.co/ZbRWt3Q1zP
  • Gold price appears to hit an immediate resistance at US$ 1,870 - where the 76.8% Fibonacci retracement intercepts with the 20-Day SMA line. https://t.co/0loOBMnFSu
  • Wall Street Futures Update: Dow Jones (+0.05%) S&P 500 (+0.16%) Nasdaq 100 (+0.45%) [delayed] -BBG
  • The Hang Seng Index looks set to extend gains beyond the 30,000 mark, hitting a fresh 20-month high. Will it succeed? https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/01/21/Nasdaq-Hits-Record-High-as-Biden-Takes-Office-Hang-Seng-Eyes-30000.html https://t.co/rh5X6ViWFg
  • The US Dollar may be finding a turning point against ASEAN currencies as smaller fiscal stimulus bets, soft earnings risk and Covid cases translate into some capital flight from equities. Get your #ASEAN currencies market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/F3uz5GHMSd https://t.co/8FdxQnP08U
Debt Debacle Hits USD/JPY the Hardest

Debt Debacle Hits USD/JPY the Hardest

Boris Schlossberg, Technical Strategist

With the US political impasse still dragging on, USDJPY has been retreating in early-Monday trading, and with no signs of progress, the losses could continue if US equities drift lower today as well.

The US dollar (USD) was slightly weaker against most major currency counterparts overnight, especially the Japanese yen (JPY), as investors remained wary of the ongoing budget battle in Washington that has resulted in a partial shutdown of the US government.

Over the weekend, House Speaker John Boehner showed no sense of urgency, reaffirming his position that the GOP wants President Obama to re-negotiate the Affordable Care Act as the cost of passing a clean budget appropriations bill. With the clock ticking, some investors are becoming increasingly concerned that the stalemate may drag to the debt ceiling deadline and put the US in danger of a first-ever default on its sovereign obligations.

See also: The Only Way This Fiscal Fiasco Can Get Worse

As a result of the budget crisis, President Obama cancelled his trip to the ASEAN summit in Brunei, but comments from the Chinese deputy finance minister echoed the concerns of investors in Asia and elsewhere. The official noted that time was running out for the US decision on raising the debt ceiling, and called for the US to ensure the safety of Chinese investments.

Although most market participants expect US lawmakers to come to some kind of a deal before the debt ceiling deadline, the current state of stubbornness is clearly starting to make some investors nervous. In FX, that nervousness is most strongly expressed in USDJPY, which fell through the 97.00 barrier during this morning’s European trading session.

With only a smattering of second-tier reports on the economic calendar, data had virtually no impact on trade today. EURUSD rose a very modest 20 points to reach 1.3585 on growing anti-dollar sentiment, while GBPUSD gained 60 points, bouncing off the 1.6000 support level.

The Australian dollar (AUD) was the weakest major currency overnight, and AUDUSD slipped below the .9400 figure on the heels of reported fund sales from Japan.

With the North American calendar barren as well, the focus will remain on Washington as traders look for any signs of progress. FX is likely to be driven by equity flows in the meantime, and if stocks begin to sell off in earnest, USDJPY could press lower, testing the 96.50 level as investor sentiment continues to deteriorate.

By Boris Schlossberg of BK Asset Management

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES