News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Are you new to trading? Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilising different forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Get a refresher on technical analysis or begin building your knowledge here: https://t.co/qV3c7a4YR3 https://t.co/2Qka1WPhnE
  • Entry orders are a valuable tool in forex trading. Traders can strategize to come up with a great trading plan, but if they can’t execute that plan effectively, all their hard work might as well be thrown out. Learn how to place entry orders here: https://t.co/1mnOXUuBpt https://t.co/kloJCFmJty
  • The continuity seen across these volatility cycles is a good thing. Historical precedence offer a blueprint for identifying conditions supportive for a vol-event to occur, and how they may unfold. Deepen your knowledge of historical volatility here: https://t.co/vg7w10la3j https://t.co/wwxKQFibW6
  • *Reminder: Weekly Strategy Webinar tomorrow morning at 8:30am EST on DailyFX! A look at the levels heading into #FOMC - https://t.co/lxd5fZnn4H
  • Key levels in forex tend to draw attention to traders in the market. These are psychological prices which tie into the human psyche and way of thinking. Learn about psychological levels here: https://t.co/8A1QhwMVKo https://t.co/Nx6AHxZksK
  • Markets Week Ahead: Euro, Dollar, Gold, S&P 500, Earnings, Inflation Check out @RichDvorakFX's latest market recap and preview plus all the weekly forecasts from the @DailyFXTeam at the link below! Link to Analysis - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/title/2021/07/25/markets-week-ahead-euro-dollar-gold-sp500-fed-earnings-inflation.html $EURUSD $SPX #Trading
  • Looking for a new way to trade reversals? One of the most used reversal candle patterns is known as the Harami. Like most candlestick formation patterns, the Harami tells a story about sentiment in the market. Get better with trading reversals here: https://t.co/rfwUWJfbz9 https://t.co/xKkBwu951j
  • The non-farm payroll (NFP) figure is a key economic indicator for the United States economy. It is also referred to as the monthly market mover. Find out why it has been given this nickname here: https://t.co/yOUVEEqhc5 https://t.co/MYWlQphqtb
  • Knowing how to accurately value a stock enables traders to identify and take advantage of opportunities in the stock market. Find out the difference between a stock's market and intrinsic value, and the importance of the two here: https://t.co/QszmdZFxlk https://t.co/paOy1oQmn3
  • US indices have a packed week ahead with earnings from the major technology names, US GDP data due and an FOMC rate decision. With so much on the docket the potential for volatility is heightened. Get your stock market forecast from @PeterHanksFX here: https://t.co/CH4WoStHvu
Swing Buy Setting up in USD/CAD

Swing Buy Setting up in USD/CAD

Raghee Horner, Technical Strategist

With the Bank of Canada on hold and the Canadian dollar holding steady, US dollar strength looks to be bringing about an uptrend and possible long-entry opportunity in USDCAD.

The daily chart of USDCAD is showing signs—and mainly on the recent US dollar (USD) strength—of transitioning into an uptrend. The steepening angle of the daily chart’s price movement would increase the chances that traders would buy into a pullback, and with the Bank of Canada (BoC) on hold, there’s likely more focus on what exactly the Bank’s timetable will be for when Mark Carney leaves to take over as Governor of the Bank of England (BOE). The BoC, under Carney, remains the world’s only hawkish central bank.

With a slower rate of inflation and a pickup in Canadian economic growth, there was no need for fireworks from Carney. It’s difficult to think about longer-term Canadian dollar (CAD) shorts into next year since the BoC reiterated that the Canadian economy won’t reach “full capacity” until mid-2015.

Nonetheless, I am more skeptical about the hawkishness in a post-Carney BoC era. It’s also difficult to bet against the greenback despite the near-term 84.50 ceiling in the US dollar index and the volatility we’re seeing in the area between 83.50 and 84.50.

The daily USDCAD’s climb is punctuated by green GRaB candles and relatively fresh “twelve-to-two-o’clock” 34-period exponential moving average (EMA) wave angle, all suggesting that an uptrend (more greenback strength and loonie weakness, or at very least, the greenback outpacing loonie strength) is likely.

Guest Commentary: USD/CAD Daily Chart

Swing_Buy_Setting_up_in_USDCAD_body_GuestCommentary_1.png, Swing Buy Setting up in USD/CAD

The hawkish story is well-baked into the cake, and the rate-hike carrot that has been dangling in front of loonie bulls may not seem so imminent after Carney’s departure.

When considering who is stepping in to replace Carney, that’s when the story takes an interesting twist. Stephen Poloz ran Canada’s export-financing agency, and considering that Canada’s GDP relies heavily on exports (crude oil, among other things), a stronger loonie does the nation’s economy no favors.

The fact that Canadian households carry an enormous amount of debt (including mortgage, credit card debt, and home equity loans) is not lost on Poloz, either.

If signs point to any conclusion, it’s that the BoC will not act anytime soon. There’s simply no need to, and as a result, this shifts the burden of higher USDCAD highs onto the US dollar since there is very little reason for the loonie itself to lose or gain ground.

On the periphery, crude oil continues to chop sideways with little interest in a rally through $97.00-$99.00 and near-term support just above $92.00. This is basically a non-factor for the loonie for now.

Intraday, the 240-minute chart is ripe for a swing buy for traders looking to follow the (fresh) daily uptrend and buy into a slight, longer-term, intraday pullback.

Guest Commentary: Swing Buy Set-up in USD/CAD

Swing_Buy_Setting_up_in_USDCAD_body_GuestCommentary_2.png, Swing Buy Setting up in USD/CAD

The 20-period simple moving average (SMA) close and 34-period EMA high are overlapping, creating a conservative swing buy support level as the 240-minute trends upward with an established “twelve-to-two-o’clock” uptrend.

By Raghee Horner of TradeForexFutures.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES