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  • The rest of the New York trading session is absent major scheduled event risk with US markets closed for the Martin Luther King Jr holiday. There is always a risk of unscheduled developments
  • Commodities Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.50% Gold: 0.41% Oil - US Crude: -0.55% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/eXSdZgvVeB
  • Despite China's better-than-expected 6.5% 4Q GDP report, $USDCNH is still up on the day. There is strong external influence on this rate, but Dollar still exerts the greater pressure. If it breaks 6.50 and Biden keeps pressure on China trade, I'll be watching https://t.co/5W5tcfeTZ5
  • Forex Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.19% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.05% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.02% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.16% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.25% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.28% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/BrmnTuolx0
  • The Capitol of the United States has been temporarily shut down ahead of President-Elect Biden's inauguration out of caution
  • Another Dollar pair on my radar is $USDCHF. Its 20-day day correlation coefficient to EURUSD is -0.90 (very strong negative). If the latter's break is sustained, both have appeal. If it stalls (soon), USDCHF is still abiding its resistance which supports establishing levels https://t.co/Pcre3xCbYd
  • Indices Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.13% France 40: 0.11% Germany 30: 0.09% Wall Street: 0.07% FTSE 100: 0.03% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/ZXdpvpEJJ3
  • Germany's central bank (Bundesbank) warned earlier today in its monthly report that if the government extended its Covid lockdown, the country could suffer "a sizeable setback"
  • The US Dollar Index rallied more than 0.6% this week marking the second consecutive weekly advance. Get your $USD update from @MBForex here: https://t.co/hVshzMbc31 https://t.co/LG0HG9fQ4c
  • There are a few Dollar pairs that have offered up a provocative, tentative technical break to suggest a reversal is possible. EURUSD is the top of my list to watch but $NZDUSD is of interest as well with many kiwi crosses offering similar view https://t.co/Ss74IIOdc7
Guest Commentary: Fear, Greed and the Herd Mentality- It's All In the Charts

Guest Commentary: Fear, Greed and the Herd Mentality- It's All In the Charts

Kira Brecht, managing editor at www.TraderPlanet.com,

While at a party recently I had a conversation with a retired physician, who is also an astute and very successful long-term stock investor.

This gentleman has been very successful with a buy-and-hold approach on individual stocks for many years, basing his trades on fundamental decisions. But, technical analysis? No, that sounded like voo-doo to him.

There are many successful investors out there who have never heard of technical analysis, let alone used it in their trading decisions. I do believe "it is all in the charts." Sure, I pay attention to fundamentals and study good market research, but when it comes to trading you really can find all you need right there on the price chart.

ALL KNOWN INFORMATION IS PRICED IN

The underlying principle is that the current price of a forex pair or any market represents the immediate opinion within the marketplace of all players. In other words, all currently "known" fundamental information is priced into the current level of the euro/dollar or gold or a stock price. That is where the market adage arises from: "It's all in the charts."

KEY PRINCIPLES

Technical analysis is the study of price and the history of price in an attempt to gauge current and future trends. The three underlying principles that drive technical theory are:

FEAR AND GREED

I'm reminded of a quote from a popular trading book: Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre: "The principles of successful stock speculation are based on the supposition that people will continue in the future to make the mistakes that they have made in the past." The demons of fear, greed and the herd mentality create some pretty interesting patterns on the charts.

TOPS AND BOTTOMS

Market bottoms tend to form during extreme periods of investor and trader fear, while market tops tend to develop amid times of extreme greed. Tops are created amid buying excesses. Human psychology really hasn't changed that much over the centuries. Markets move from greed at the top to fear at a bottom.

REMOVE SOME EMOTION

Looking at a daily, weekly or monthly price chart may help remove some of the emotional factors, which are the culprit of so many trading mistakes. Pattern recognition, simply a visual read of a chart looking for specific formations can offer important insights to traders and investors.

Patterns and formations, which repeat throughout markets and throughout timeframes can offer traders and investors on clues on better entry and exit points.

Now, go study your charts!

By Kira Brecht, managing editor at TraderPlanet.com

Would you like to see more third-party contributors on DailyFX? For questions and comments, please send them to research@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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