We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • 🇪🇺 EUR German Gross Domestic Product w.d.a. (YoY) (3Q F), Actual: 0.5% Expected: 0.5% Previous: 0.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2019-11-22
  • 🇪🇺 EUR German Gross Domestic Product n.s.a. (YoY) (3Q F), Actual: 1,0% Expected: 1.0% Previous: 1.0% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2019-11-22
  • The $JPY has posted some rare gains against the US Dollar on its daily chart, but important channel support still holds on an intraday basis. Keep a close eye on it now. Get your market update from @DavidCottleFX here:https://t.co/ReMGzu6OjP https://t.co/FkSEGuro3T
  • 🇪🇺 EUR German Gross Domestic Product w.d.a. (YoY) (3Q F), Actual: 1% Expected: 0.5% Previous: 0.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2019-11-22
  • Heads Up:🇪🇺 EUR German Gross Domestic Product w.d.a. (YoY) (3Q F) due at 07:00 GMT (15min), Actual: N/A Expected: 0.5% Previous: 0.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2019-11-22
  • Heads Up:🇪🇺 EUR German Gross Domestic Product n.s.a. (YoY) (3Q F) due at 07:00 GMT (15min), Actual: N/A Expected: 1.0% Previous: 1.0% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2019-11-22
  • European Opening Calls From IG: #FTSE 7259 +0.28% #DAX 13166 +0.22% #CAC 5892 +0.18% #MIB 23339 +0.26% #IBEX 9236 +0.23% #STOXX 3688 +0.21%
  • USD/MXN Technical Analysis: Peso Breaks Down as USMCA Lingers - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2019/11/22/USDMXN-Technical-Analysis-Peso-Breaks-Down-as-USMCA-Lingers.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Spivak&utm_campaign=twr #USDMXN #USMCA https://t.co/ZHZWXOGHuW
  • What is a CPI and why does it affect #forex traders? Find out: https://t.co/nGztbG91kc #tradingstyle https://t.co/d06LgWdP50
  • My trading video for today: 'S&P 500 Slip Isn't Yet Bearish Conviction, Even with Trade War and Recession Headlines' https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2019/11/22/SP-500-Slip-Isnt-Yet-Bearish-Conviction-Even-with-Trade-War-and-Recession-Headlines.html?CHID=9&QPID=917719 https://t.co/WRXYdP6ru2
Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Weekly Outlook 11.05.2012

Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Weekly Outlook 11.05.2012

2012-11-05 15:22:00
Lior Cohen: Commodities Analyst at Trading NRG,
Share:

The prices of gold and silver continued last week their downward trend. Will this downward trend progress this week? The U.S manufacturing PMI edged up during October to reach 51.7%; jobless claims decreased by 9k to reach 363k. These reports may have contributed to downfall of precious metals rates. Further, the U.S non-farm payroll may have had a negative effect on precious metals prices and other commodities prices on Friday. During the last week, the Euro/USD declined by 0.83%; further, the Aussie dollar also depreciated against the USD by 0.36%. This downward trend may have contributed to the decline of bullion rates.

The main reports and events that may affect the bullion markets are: U.S Presidential elections, Euro-group meeting, U.S trade balance report, China's CPI, RBA rate statement, ECB rate decision, and U.S. jobless claims.

The video report herein has an outlook of gold and silver for the main publications and events that may affect precious metals during November 5th and November 9th. Some of these reports include:

Tuesday, U.S Presidential Elections: This news is likely to crowd out other news items and so the financial markets might be working light on that day;

Thursday, Euro-group Meeting: The Euro-group Meeting will be held in Brussels and the EU ministers of finance will talk over the recent political and monetary developments in Europe; in the last meeting there was little headway and the market didn't react to the news coming out of this meeting;

Thursday, ECB Press Conference and Euro Rate Decision: The last time the ECB decided to reduce its cash rate was back in July when President of ECB lowered the EU interest rate by 0.25pp to 0.75%. Since many EU countries are still struggling, and since the FOMC announced in September of QE3, ECB might decide to make another rate reduction in the near future by another 0.25pp. If ECB will cut the rate again, it may affect the Euro;

In conclusion, I guess gold and silver will continue their slow downward trend during this upcoming week. There might be a rise in the volatility as the U.S Presidential elections could cut the trading volume. The upcoming Euro-group Summit could affect the forex markets if there will be any big headlines coming out of it. Last month's Euro-group Summit didn't invoke a reaction in the forex and commodities markets, therefore I suspect this week's Summit will also have little to no effect on the financial markets. The upcoming reports regarding the U.S economy include the U.S trade balance report and non-manufacturing PMI could affect the USD and commodities prices if these reports will be much different than many had anticipated. If the major central banks including ECB, MPC and RBA will decide to lower their cash rate this could adversely affect their respective currency, which could strengthen the USD and thus pull down gold and silver. Finally, if the Euro, Aussie dollar, Canadian dollar and other risk currencies will continue to dwindle against the USD, this could also adversely affect precious metals.

For further reading: Gold and Silver Outlook for November

By: Lior Cohen, M.A. in Economics, Commodities Analyst and Blogger at Trading NRG

Would you like to see more third-party contributors on DailyFX? For questions and comments, please send them to research@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.