News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • 🇯🇵 Coincident Index Final (MAY) Actual: 92.1 Previous: 95.3 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-28
  • 🇯🇵 Leading Economic Index Final (MAY) Actual: 102.6 Previous: 103.8 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-28
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 Leading Economic Index Final (MAY) due at 05:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 103.8 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-28
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 Coincident Index Final (MAY) due at 05:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 95.3 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-28
  • Crude Oil Prices Risk Forming a “Lower High” on Viral Concerns, Stockpiles Fall https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/07/28/Crude-Oil-Prices-Risk-Forming-a-Lower-High-on-Viral-Concerns-Stockpiles-Fall-.html https://t.co/A8H9tICkse
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 94.37%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 75.02%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/8RDJ927lny
  • What is your forex trading style? Take the quiz and find out: https://t.co/YY3ePTpzSI https://t.co/DtSCe17vPg
  • Forex Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: 0.14% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.04% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.04% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.02% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.03% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.03% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/5vk2L17zcp
  • Indices Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.09% Germany 30: -0.10% FTSE 100: -0.12% US 500: -0.14% Wall Street: -0.21% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/0RLz8L0Goo
  • Despite the IMF's update to 2021 growth forecasts and strong earnings after hours, risk trends are pacing like markets are worried. Traders are likely awaiting the Fed, and that has me look at $EURUSD and $USDCAD https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2021/07/28/EURUSD-and-USDCAD-Reversals-More-Suitable-to-Conditions-but-Beholden-to-Fed.html https://t.co/ywxD4wRAYX
Guest Commentary: Lakshman Achuthan - The US is in Recession

Guest Commentary: Lakshman Achuthan - The US is in Recession

Yohay Elam, Forex Crunch,

The head of ECRI, Lakshman Achuthan, stated that he believes that the United States is already in recession.

Talking on Bloomberg, Achuthan restated that we will probably know that only at the end of the year. He mentioned that the figures for the beginning of 2008 were significantly revised to the downside. Does Bernanke have the same view of the US economy?

Achuthan forecast a recession coming in Q1 or Q2. Mike Shedlock estimated that the recession probably began in June 2012.

Achuthan says:

  • The velocity of money is plunging
  • The stock market doesn’t reflect the economy
  • Signs are pointing to a downturn

Recent GDP figures have shown that the US economy continued growing at a slow pace in Q1 and Q2. According to ISM’s PMIs, the services sector is still enjoying growth while manufacturing is experiencing a slow contraction.

Does the Fed also think that the US is already in recession? In the press conference following the announcement of QE3, Bernanke stressed that the Fed is looking at the full picture of employment: the low participation rate and also the employment to population rate are both worrying, even if the official unemployment rate is relatively OK.

By Yohay Elam, Forex Crunch

Would you like to see more third-party contributors on DailyFX? For questions and comments, please send them to research@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES