News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • The Federal Reserve System (the Fed) was founded in 1913 by the United States Congress. The Fed’s actions and policies have a major impact on currency value, affecting many trades involving the US Dollar. Learn more about the Fed here: https://t.co/ADSC4sIHrP https://t.co/oeAKuToQ5b
  • 🇬🇧 Mortgage Approvals (JUN) Actual: 81.3K Expected: 86.1K Previous: 87.545K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-29
  • 🇬🇧 Mortgage Lending (JUN) Actual: £17.9B Expected: £7.9B Previous: £6.581B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-29
  • China will also cancel export tax rebate on iron products - MOFCOM
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 Mortgage Approvals (JUN) due at 08:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 86.1K Previous: 87.5K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-29
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 Mortgage Lending (JUN) due at 08:30 GMT (15min) Expected: £7.9B Previous: £6.6B https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-29
  • China is raise export tariffs on some steel products from August 1st
  • 🇩🇪 Unemployment Rate (JUL) Actual: 5.7% Expected: 5.8% Previous: 5.9% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-29
  • 🇩🇪 Unemployment Change (JUL) Actual: -91K Expected: -28K Previous: -38K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-07-29
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 94.34%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 72.28%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/JAiC4NsGWC
Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 09.14.2012

Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 09.14.2012

Lior Cohen: Commodities Analyst,

The prices gold and silver resumed their upward trend soon after the FOMC announced of QE3 that will consist of purchasing additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a rate of $40 billion per month. This news is likely to continue affecting precious metals rates during the day. Currently the price of gold is rising. In other news U.S PPI rose by 1.7% during last month. U.S jobless claims rose by 15k to reach 382k. These news items may have curbed a bit the rally of bullion but the effect of the FOMC decision eclipsed all other news items. On today's agenda: European Council Meeting, U.S Core Consumer Price Index, U.S. Retail Sales Report and UoM Consumer Sentiment.

On Thursday, Gold hiked by 2.21% to $1,772; Silver also rose by 4.46% to $34.78. During September, gold increased by 5.01%; silver, by 10.61%.

FOMC Announced of QE3

I really thought the Fed will wait with the launch of QE3 until after the elections…but the all FOMC members except one decided its time to take it up a notch and release QE3 with no time limit. The FOMC concluded its meeting with a statement that it will continue its "operation twist until the end of the year, keep rates low until mid 2015 – it was previously until late 2014 – and, as said above, launch QE3 that will consist of purchasing additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a rate of $40 billion per month. This news, as expected, pulled up the prices of precious metals. The table below shows the reaction of bullion rates following the FOMC meetings. The last time there was such a strong and positive reaction was back in January when the Fed had pledged to keep rates low until late 2014. This also suggests, assuming all things equal, that bullion rates will continue to rise during the day.

Guest_Commentary_Gold_Silver_Daily_Outlook_September_14_2012_body_FOMC_13.png, Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 09.14.2012

On Today's Agenda

European Council Meeting: The European Council Meeting will be held in Brussels and the EU ministers of finance will meet and converse about the recent political and monetary changes in Europe;

U.S. Retail Sales Report: in the recent report regarding July, the retail sales rose by 0.8% from the previous month; gasoline stations sales increased by 0.5% in July compared to June;

Daily Outlook

The prices of bullion hiked yesterday soon after many learned that the Fed did launched another quantitative easing plan. This plan, as oppose to the previous plans – QE1 and QE2 – has no time frame, and is only concentrated in mortgage backed securities and not other securities. This plan along the pledge to keep short terms rates low until mid-2015, and the extension of operation twist – in order to pull down the long term government bond yields – should help jump-start the U.S economy. The Fed also stated that if needed it will implement additional monetary maneuvers while keeping close attention on the inflation. I guess the recent U.S reports including the non-farm employment report (only 96k added jobs), the U.S GDP that grew by only 1.7% were the tipping the point for the Fed to issue QE3. This also means that the prices of bullion are likely to further rise in the weeks to come.

For further reading: On the Relation between QE Programs and Gold

By: Lior Cohen, M.A. in Economics, Commodities Analyst and Blogger at Trading NRG

Would you like to see more third-party contributors on DailyFX? For questions and comments, please send them to research@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES