News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 04.13.2012

Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 04.13.2012

Lior Cohen, Energy Analyst for Trading NRG,

Gold and silver rallied yesterday and with this gain they have both advanced from their tumble at the beginning of the month. The U.S jobless claims rose and thus may have been among the factors to pull down the US dollar. Today, there are several reports to come out including: U.S CPI, Great Britain PPI and U.S TIC Long Term Purchases.

Gold bounced back and increased on Thursday by 1.22% to $1,680; silver also increased by 3.19% to $32.53.

The ratio between gold and silver declined to 51.67. In the chart below are the shifts in this ratio during April (up to date).

Guest_Commentary_Gold_Silver_Daily_Outlook_04.13.2012_body_Ratio__13.png, Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 04.13.2012

On Today's Agenda

U.S Core CPI:. Following the U.S PPI report that came out yesterday, in which the PPI remained unchanged while the U.S PPI excluding energy and food edged up by 0.3%, this may suggest the CPI will also remain flat while the core CPI might edge up. During February 2012, the core CPI rose by 0.4% (M-o-M) and also increased over the last 12 months by 2.2%; this report may affect the US dollar and consequently gold and silver;

Forex / Gold & Silver– April

The Euro/USD rose again on Thursday by 0.6% to 1.3188; furthermore, the Aussie dollar and Canadian dollar also sharply appreciated against the U.S. dollar by 1.36% and 0.93% respectively during yesterday’s trading. These currencies tend to be linearly correlated with the daily percent developments of gold and silver. Thus, if the Euro AUD will change direction and decline today, they may signal gold and silver may also pull back.

Daily Analysis

Metals bounced back yesterday after they didn’t do much on Wednesday. This rally coincided with the strengthening of the Euro, which is strongly positively linked with metals. The rest of the market including stocks and energy commodities also rose yesterday. If this direction will continue it may suggest that gold and silver will continue to trade up. The upcoming U.S reports including core CPI and TIC long term purchases may affect the strength of the USD and consequently bullion.

This gold and silver outlook was first published in Trading NRG

For further reading:

Examining the Gold Price in Light of the U.S Money Base – April Report

Reexamining the Difference between Gold and Platinum

By: Lior Cohen, M.A. in Economics, Commodities Analyst and Blogger at Trading NRG

Would you like to see more third-party contributors on DailyFX? For questions and comments, please send them to research@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES